AFC Fylde - Carlisle United prediction 29 September 2026
AFC Fylde
Carlisle United
Boreham WoodAFC FyldeAFC FyldeAtherton CollieriesAFC FyldeScunthorpe UnitedSouthend UnitedAFC FyldeAFC FyldeCarlisle UnitedBoston UnitedAFC FyldeAFC FyldeAltrinchamHarrogate TownAFC FyldeYeovil TownAFC FyldeAFC FyldeWorthingSolihull MoorsAFC FyldeAFC FyldeForest Green RoversWokingAFC FyldeTamworthAFC FyldeAFC FyldeWealdstoneSolihull MoorsCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedTamworthCarlisle UnitedKidderminster HarriersAldershot TownCarlisle UnitedAFC FyldeCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedWokingEastleighCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedForest Green RoversCarlisle UnitedSouthend UnitedBoreham WoodCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedScunthorpe UnitedWealdstoneCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedAFC HornchurchYeovil TownCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedWorthingAFC FyldeCarlisle UnitedAFC FyldeCarlisle UnitedAFC FyldeCarlisle United| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 38:13 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Southend United | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 33:21 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 |  Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 33:17 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:22 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |  Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 |  AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 |  Sutton United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |  Forest Green Rovers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool United | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:30 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe United | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14:37 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:31 | -23 | 4 |
AFC Fylde vs Carlisle United Prediction (Sep 29)
The AFC Fylde vs Carlisle United prediction for this National League fixture on Sep 29 at 19:45 points towards a home advantage. Based on the stats, AFC Fylde has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Carlisle United has a 25% chance.
Team Form
AFC Fylde comes into this match in strong form, having won three of their last five matches (W, L, W, W, D). Their recent results include a 1-0 away win at Boston United and a 4-1 away win at Yeovil Town. Their only recent home defeat was a 1-2 loss to Altrincham.
Carlisle United's recent form is poor, with no wins in their last five matches (L, L, D, D, L). They suffered a heavy 2-5 home defeat to Woking and a 0-1 away loss at Eastleigh. Their last two away matches ended in defeat.
Head-to-Head Record
Carlisle United has dominated the head-to-head record, winning both previous encounters. The most recent meeting was a Friendly Clubs match on Jul 19, 2025, which Carlisle won 2-0 away at AFC Fylde. The earlier match on Jul 21, 2018, also ended in a 1-0 away win for Carlisle.
League Table Positions
AFC Fylde sits 3rd in the National League with 20 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 21 goals and conceded 13. Their away form is particularly impressive, ranking 2nd in the league with 15 points from 6 away games.
Carlisle United is not in the top 12 of the overall standings provided, indicating a lower league position. Their recent form suggests they are struggling, with only 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
Win Probability: AFC Fylde or Carlisle United?
We calculate the win probability based on available odds, team form, and league positions. The average bookmaker odds imply a close match, but we adjust for AFC Fylde's superior league standing and recent form, and Carlisle's poor run.
AFC Fylde has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Carlisle United has a 25% chance. AFC Fylde's strong away form and higher league position give them the edge, despite Carlisle's historical H2H advantage.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The best available odds are: AFC Fylde win at 2.50, draw at 2.50, and Carlisle United win at 2.62. Based on the stats, AFC Fylde is the more likely winner, but a draw is a significant possibility given Carlisle's recent two draws and the close odds.
AFC Fylde vs Carlisle United โ FAQ
- Who will win AFC Fylde vs Carlisle United?
- Based on our analysis, AFC Fylde has a 45% chance of winning, a draw has a 30% chance, and Carlisle United has a 25% chance. AFC Fylde is the favorite due to their superior league position and recent form.
- What is the win probability for AFC Fylde?
- AFC Fylde has a 45% chance of winning this match. This is based on their 3rd place league standing, strong recent form with 3 wins in 5 games, and bookmaker odds averaging around 2.50.
- When is the AFC Fylde vs Carlisle United match?
- The match is on Sep 29, 2026, with a 19:45 kick-off time. It is a National League fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for the match are close: AFC Fylde win at 2.50, a draw at 2.50, and Carlisle United win at 2.62. These odds suggest a very evenly matched contest according to bookmakers.