Aldershot Town - Carlisle United prediction 3 October 2026
Aldershot Town
Carlisle UnitedAldershot Town
WealdstoneTadley CallevaAldershot TownAldershot TownTadley CallevaAldershot TownNorwich City U21AltrinchamAldershot TownAldershot TownCarlisle UnitedAFC HornchurchAldershot TownAldershot TownTamworthBarrowAldershot TownAldershot TownYeovil TownSolihull MoorsAldershot TownAldershot TownWest Ham U21Aldershot TownHalifax TownEastleighAldershot TownAldershot TownHarrogate TownSolihull MoorsCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedTamworthCarlisle UnitedKidderminster HarriersAldershot TownCarlisle UnitedAFC FyldeCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedWokingEastleighCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedForest Green RoversCarlisle UnitedSouthend UnitedBoreham WoodCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedScunthorpe UnitedWealdstoneCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedAFC HornchurchYeovil TownCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedWorthingAldershot TownCarlisle UnitedAldershot TownCarlisle UnitedCarlisle UnitedAldershot Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 38:13 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Southend United | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 33:21 | +12 | 28 |
| 4 |  Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 33:17 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:22 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |  Halifax Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 |  AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 |  Sutton United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 |  Forest Green Rovers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool United | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:30 | -9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe United | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14:37 | -23 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:31 | -23 | 4 |
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United Prediction (Oct 3)
The Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United prediction for the National League match on Oct 3, 2026, points to a tight contest. Our analysis gives Aldershot Town a 40% win probability, Carlisle United 30%, and the draw 30%, with the home side slightly favoured despite a poor head-to-head record.
Team Form
Aldershot Town's last five results (W, L, D, W, L) show inconsistency. They thrashed Tamworth 5-1 at home but lost 0-1 at Barrow and 0-3 to West Ham U21 in the cup. A 1-1 draw with Yeovil and a 2-1 win at Solihull Moors highlight their ability to grind out results.
Carlisle United are winless in five (L, L, D, D, L). A 2-5 home loss to Woking and 0-1 defeat at Eastleigh exposed defensive frailties. Draws against Forest Green (1-1) and Southend (2-2) offered little relief, and a 1-2 loss at Boreham Wood continued the poor run.
Head-to-Head Record
Carlisle United have dominated this fixture, winning both previous meetings 2-0. The most recent clash on Mar 10, 2026, ended 0-2 at Aldershot, while the Sep 13, 2025, encounter finished 2-0 to Carlisle at home. Aldershot have yet to score against them.
League Table Positions
Aldershot Town sit 5th in the National League with 18 points from 10 games (5W, 3D, 2L). They have scored 15 and conceded only 8, boasting the joint-third best defence. At home, they are 6th with 10 points from 5 matches (3W, 1D, 1L). Carlisle United are outside the top 12, indicating a struggling campaign.
Win Probability: Aldershot Town or Carlisle United?
Aldershot Town has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Carlisle United has a 30% chance. Bookmakers' opening odds implied a close match (home 29.3%, draw 35.4%, away 35.4%), but we adjusted for Aldershot's superior league position, solid home form, and Carlisle's dreadful recent results. The head-to-head record prevents a higher home probability, keeping Carlisle in contention.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer home win odds between 2.90 and 3.25, draw odds from 2.40 to 3.70, and away win odds from 1.98 to 2.40. The market sees this as an open game. Based on the stats, Aldershot Town are the value pick to avoid defeat, but Carlisle United's historical edge means a low-scoring draw or narrow away win cannot be ruled out. Betting tips: consider under 2.5 goals given Aldershot's tight defence and Carlisle's scoring struggles.
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United โ FAQ
- Who will win Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
- Aldershot Town has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is 30%, and Carlisle United has a 30% chance. Aldershot are slightly more likely to win based on their higher league position and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Aldershot Town?
- Aldershot Town has a 40% win probability. This reflects their 5th-place standing, solid home record (3 wins in 5), and Carlisle's poor form, though Carlisle's perfect head-to-head record lowers the home chance.
- When is the Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United match?
- The match is on Oct 3, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a National League fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary across bookmakers: home win 2.90โ3.25, draw 2.40โ3.70, away win 1.98โ2.40. The market indicates a closely contested match with no clear favourite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Aldershot Town and Carlisle United?
- Carlisle United have won both previous meetings 2-0. The wins came on Mar 10, 2026 (away) and Sep 13, 2025 (home), with Aldershot yet to score in this fixture.