Kocaelispor - Caykur Rizespor prediction 31 October 2026

The Kocaelispor vs Caykur Rizespor prediction for the Super League clash on October 31 at 13:00 looks to be a tightly contested affair, with a slight edge for the home side based on recent odds. Kocaelispor has a calculated win probability of 36%, while Caykur Rizespor sits at 34%, making a draw at 30% a very real possibility. The match at Kocaeli Stadyumu is set to be a balanced battle between two mid-table teams.

Team Form

Kocaelispor's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of two wins and three losses in their last five matches (W, L, L, W, L). Their most recent outing was an impressive 2-1 away victory against Alanyaspor on October 23. However, home form has been shaky, with a 1-2 loss to Goztepe on October 18 highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Caykur Rizespor also comes into this match with a similar patchy record of one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L, L, D, W, L). Their away form provides some hope, having secured a 2-0 win at Eyupspor on September 12, but they are coming off a 2-1 defeat at Corum Belediyespor on October 16. Both teams will be eager to find consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two Super League sides is perfectly balanced. In their last three meetings, each team has one win and there has been one draw. The most recent encounter saw Caykur Rizespor claim a convincing 2-0 home victory on February 20, 2026. Before that, Kocaelispor held Caykur Rizespor to a 1-1 draw at this very stadium on September 21, 2025. A friendly match in July 2021 went Kocaelispor's way with a 3-2 away win, showing that results are always hard to predict when these teams meet.

League Table Positions

In the overall Super League standings, Kocaelispor is in 7th place with 15 points from 9 matches, having scored 11 goals and conceded 9. Their home form is stronger, ranking 7th with 9 points from 4 home games. Caykur Rizespor's away form is a key strength, as they rank 2nd in the away table with 10 points from 5 matches on the road. This sets up an intriguing clash between a solid home team and one of the league's best traveling sides.

Win Probability: Kocaelispor or Caykur Rizespor?

Based on a detailed analysis of the available data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Kocaelispor has a 36% chance of winning, a draw is at 30%, and Caykur Rizespor has a 34% chance. These percentages are derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds, normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for team form and league table positions. Kocaelispor's home advantage and higher overall league position are countered by Caykur Rizespor's superb away record, which is second-best in the league. The perfectly balanced head-to-head record further supports the conclusion that a draw is a highly probable outcome. Based on the stats, Kocaelispor is marginally more likely to win, but this match is too close to call with any high confidence.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an exceptionally open contest. The latest odds show a home win for Kocaelispor priced as low as 2.38 and as high as 2.72, while an away win for Caykur Rizespor ranges from 2.64 to 3.10. The draw odds are tightly grouped, with a notable offer of 2.14 from one bookmaker. These figures confirm that there is no clear favorite. Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Caykur Rizespor is that this will be a low-scoring, cautious affair. A draw is a strong possibility, but if there is a winner, Kocaelispor's need to leverage their home pitch gives them a razor-thin edge over their evenly-matched opponents.