Eibar B - CD Basconia prediction 10 October 2026

The Eibar B vs CD Basconia prediction for this Segunda Federacion fixture on October 10, 2026, at 11:30 local time points to a tight contest. Our match analysis gives Eibar B a 40% win probability, a draw at 35%, and CD Basconia a 25% chance of taking all three points.

Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent form, and the head-to-head record adds further intrigue. Read on for detailed betting tips, odds, and our full match preview.

Team Form

Eibar B have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a stunning 5-1 away victory against Rayo Cantabria/Racing Santander II on October 3. Prior to that, they secured home wins over Compostela (1-0) on September 27 and Gimnastica Torrelavega (1-0) on September 12, plus a 2-0 away win at Ourense CF on September 19. The only blemish was a 2-1 defeat at Real Oviedo B on September 5. At home, Eibar B have kept two clean sheets in their last two matches, suggesting defensive solidity.

CD Basconia's form is more mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home to UD Llanera on October 3, beat Marino Luanco 2-1 away on September 27, drew 2-2 at home to Arosa on September 19, beat Atletico Astorga 3-2 at home on September 13, and lost 2-1 away to Ourense CF on September 6. On the road, they have one win and one loss in their last two away games, showing inconsistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited but favours CD Basconia. In their two previous meetings in the Segunda Federacion, CD Basconia won 3-1 away at Eibar B on February 15, 2026, and the teams drew 1-1 at CD Basconia on December 6, 2025. Eibar B have yet to beat CD Basconia, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the H2H.

Win Probability: Eibar B or CD Basconia?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and head-to-head statistics, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Eibar B win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• CD Basconia win: 25%

Eibar B’s strong recent form and home advantage give them the edge, but CD Basconia’s unbeaten H2H record (1 win, 1 draw) and the bookmakers' implied probabilities suggest a draw is a very realistic outcome. The home side’s defensive record at home (two consecutive 1-0 wins) could be key, while CD Basconia have scored in every away game this season. Overall, Eibar B are the more likely winners, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One bookmaker prices a home win at 2.68, a draw at 2.08, and an away win at 3.60. Another set shows 2.10 for Eibar B, 3.30 for the draw, and 3.00 for CD Basconia. The discrepancy highlights the uncertainty, with the draw being the shortest price in one market and the home win in the other.

Based on the stats and probabilities, our Eibar B vs CD Basconia prediction leans towards a home win or a draw. The value might lie in backing Eibar B to win given their form, but the H2H record and the low draw odds suggest a cautious approach. A 1-0 or 2-1 home victory, or a 1-1 draw, are the most likely scorelines.