CD Audaz - CD Dragon prediction 24 September 2026

Our CD Audaz vs CD Dragon prediction for the Segunda Division match on September 24, 2026, gives the home side a 40% chance of winning. The draw is rated at 35%, while CD Dragon sits at 25% probability. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, but head-to-head history and recent form tilt the balance toward CD Audaz.

Team Form

CD Audaz come into this match with a mixed run of results: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They scored seven goals and conceded six in that spell, with a notable 4-2 home victory over Orion FC on September 16. The earlier 1-0 win against Santa Tecla and a goalless draw with Sonsonate show they can be solid at home.

CD Dragon’s recent form reads one win, two draws, and two losses. They have also scored seven goals but conceded ten, highlighting defensive issues. A 1-1 draw at CD El Vencedor and a 2-1 home win over Olimpico Litoral were bright spots, but heavy defeats to CD FAS (4-1) and Pipil (3-2) raise concerns.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record heavily favours CD Audaz. In all previous meetings, CD Audaz have won 5 times, drawn 3, and CD Dragon have never won. The most recent clash, on January 28, 2018, ended 1-1. Before that, CD Audaz recorded four straight 2-1 victories, all away from home. This dominance gives CD Audaz a clear psychological edge.

Win Probability: CD Audaz or CD Dragon?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• CD Audaz win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• CD Dragon win: 25%

The raw odds imply a 31% home win, 40% draw, and 29% away win. However, CD Audaz’s perfect head-to-head record (5 wins, 0 losses for CD Dragon) and home advantage justify an upward adjustment. CD Dragon’s leaky defence and poor H2H record reduce their chances. Therefore, CD Audaz are the more likely winners, but a draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers’ 1X2 odds are: CD Audaz 2.88, Draw 2.25, CD Dragon 3.20. The draw is the favourite in the market, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. Our prediction, however, leans towards a home win. Considering the stats, CD Audaz to win offers value at 2.88. For a safer betting tip, the double chance 1X (CD Audaz or draw) covers the two most probable outcomes. The match is likely to be tight, with a 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favour of the hosts.