Nacional FC de Sonsonate - CD El Roble de Ilobasco prediction 18 September 2026

The Nacional FC de Sonsonate vs CD El Roble de Ilobasco prediction for September 18, 2026, in El Salvador’s Segunda Division points to a tight contest. According to the latest odds and available form data, Nacional FC de Sonsonate is the slight favorite with a 44% win probability, while the draw looms large at 41%. The match kicks off at midnight, with the home side being backed by bookmakers.

Team Form

Only the recent results of CD El Roble de Ilobasco are available. Over their last five matches, the away side has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 defeat against Municipal Limeno on April 24. Before that, they played out two consecutive draws — a goalless match against Municipal Limeno and a 1-1 with Luis Angel Firpo. A bright spot was the 3-0 cup win over Sensunte Cabanas FC, but a heavy 1-4 loss to Cacahuatique earlier in February shows inconsistency. No form data is provided for Nacional FC de Sonsonate.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between these two sides. The record stands at 0 wins for Nacional FC de Sonsonate, 0 draws, and 0 wins for CD El Roble de Ilobasco. This will be their first ever meeting, making form and odds the only indicators.

Win Probability: Nacional FC de Sonsonate or CD El Roble de Ilobasco?

Using the inverse of the pre-match 1X2 odds and normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, the probabilities are as follows: Nacional FC de Sonsonate win: 44%, Draw: 41%, and CD El Roble de Ilobasco win: 15%. The home side’s edge is largely due to the odds, with a very short away price of 6.00 suggesting a low chance for the visitors. The draw probability is notably high, almost matching the home win, which indicates the match could be closely fought.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a home win at 2.05, a draw at 2.20, and an away win at 6.00. Based on these stats and the limited form picture, Nacional FC de Sonsonate appears the most likely winner, but the draw is a real possibility. A cautious bet on the home side with a draw no bet, or simply backing the double chance 1X, aligns with the high probability of at least a point for the hosts.