Nublense - CD Everton Vina del Mar prediction 12 September 2026

Nublense vs CD Everton Vina del Mar prediction for the Primera Division match on Sep 12, 2026, at 15:30. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, the draw is the most probable outcome at 40%, with Nublense holding a 35% chance of winning and CD Everton Vina del Mar a 25% chance. Bookmakers see this as a tight contest, with the draw odds as low as 2.08 in some markets.

Team Form

Nublense Recent Form

Nublense's last five matches show a mixed pattern: L, L, L, W, W. After three consecutive defeats, they bounced back with two wins. On Aug 16, they beat Union La Calera 2-1 at home, and on Aug 23, they won 2-1 away at Universidad Catolica. However, their home form in the last three at Nelson Oyarzún Arenas includes a 0-1 loss to Deportes Concepcion and a 2-1 win over Union La Calera. Overall, they have scored 26 goals and conceded 26 in 21 league matches, sitting mid-table.

CD Everton Vina del Mar Recent Form

Everton’s last five results read L, W, W, D, W, showing strong form with three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their away performances are particularly impressive: a 3-0 win at Deportes Limache and a 4-1 victory at Huachipato. In their last away match, they lost 0-1 to Universidad Catolica at home, but on the road overall they have won 5, drawn 2, and lost 3 in 10 away games, scoring 18 goals and conceding only 10.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 11 meetings, Nublense have won 4 times, CD Everton Vina del Mar have won 2, and there have been 5 draws. The most recent H2H, on Apr 4, 2026, ended 0-0 at Everton’s ground. Before that, Nublense won 1-0 at home in Aug 2025 and 2-1 away in Mar 2025. Nublense have a clear edge on their own turf, where they have avoided defeat in 4 of the last 5 H2H clashes at Nelson Oyarzún Arenas.

League Table Positions

CD Everton Vina del Mar are 4th in the Primera Division with 33 points from 22 games (9 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses, 34 goals scored, 24 conceded). Nublense are 6th with 32 points from 21 games (8 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses, 26 goals for, 26 against). At home, Nublense rank 8th with 16 points from 11 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Everton’s away record is 3rd best in the league, with 17 points from 10 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The point difference is minimal, and both teams are in the upper half of the table.

Win Probability: Nublense or CD Everton Vina del Mar?

After analyzing odds, recent form, H2H, and league positions, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• Nublense win: 35%
• Draw: 40%
• CD Everton Vina del Mar win: 25%

The draw is the most likely result, supported by the high number of stalemates in recent H2H meetings (5 in 11 games) and the bookmakers' low draw odds. Nublense’s home advantage and historical edge keep them as the second favorite, while Everton’s strong away form is balanced by their poor H2H record at this venue.

Odds & Match Prediction

Average odds from multiple bookmakers: Nublense win 2.34, Draw 2.11, CD Everton Vina del Mar win 3.15. The market clearly sees a draw as the most likely outcome, with the home side only slightly ahead of the visitors in the win market. Our prediction aligns with the stats: a draw is the most probable result. However, Nublense’s recent home wins and head-to-head dominance suggest they could edge it. Betting tips: the draw or a Nublense double chance (home win or draw) are the safest options based on the data.