Real Madrid C - CD Guadalajara SAD prediction 7 October 2026

Real Madrid C vs CD Guadalajara SAD prediction for the Segunda Federacion match on October 7, 2026, at 11:00. Our analysis gives CD Guadalajara SAD a 35% chance of winning, while Real Madrid C has a 30% probability and the draw stands at 35%. This betting tip is based on recent form, head-to-head statistics, and home advantage. The match takes place in Spain's Segunda Federacion, the fourth tier of Spanish football.

Team Form

Real Madrid C

Real Madrid C's last five results: L, L, D, D, W. The win came in a friendly, so their league form is concerning. Their last four Segunda Federacion matches:

• Oct 3: CD Atletico Paso 1-0 Real Madrid C (Loss)
• Sep 27: Atletico Madrid C 2-0 Real Madrid C (Loss)
• Sep 13: Talavera de la Reina 0-0 Real Madrid C (Draw)
• Sep 6: Real Madrid C 0-0 Albacete B (Draw)

They have failed to score in any of these league games, highlighting a serious attacking problem. At home, their only recent league outing was the goalless draw against Albacete B.

CD Guadalajara SAD

CD Guadalajara SAD's last five results: D, L, W, L, L. Their league form shows a bit more promise with a win and a draw in the last four:

• Oct 3: CD Guadalajara SAD 3-3 Gimnastica Segoviana (Draw)
• Sep 27: Numancia 1-0 CD Guadalajara SAD (Loss)
• Sep 13: CD Guadalajara SAD 2-1 RSD Real Sociedad Alcala (Win)
• Sep 6: CD Guadalajara SAD 2-3 Salamanca CF UDS (Loss)

They have scored in three of those four league matches, but defensive issues have cost them points. Away from home, they lost 1-0 to Numancia, so their road form is not strong.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head between Real Madrid C and CD Guadalajara SAD consists of two previous meetings in the Segunda Federacion:

• Mar 1, 2025: Real Madrid C 1-1 CD Guadalajara SAD
• Oct 19, 2024: CD Guadalajara SAD 2-0 Real Madrid C

CD Guadalajara SAD leads with one win and one draw. Real Madrid C has yet to beat them. The aggregate score is 3-1 in favor of the away side.

Win Probability: Real Madrid C or CD Guadalajara SAD?

Considering all available data, we assign the following win probabilities:

• Real Madrid C: 30%
• Draw: 35%
• CD Guadalajara SAD: 35%

Real Madrid C's poor scoring record and winless league run make them underdogs despite playing at home. Home advantage typically adds about 10% to a team's win probability, but Real Madrid C's recent home form (a 0-0 draw) does not inspire confidence. CD Guadalajara SAD's historical edge and slightly better attacking output give them a marginal advantage. However, both teams are inconsistent, so a draw is a very realistic outcome. The match is likely to be tight, with a low total of goals expected.

Odds & Match Prediction

Currently, no bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Without market odds, our prediction is based purely on statistical analysis. The data suggests that CD Guadalajara SAD is the more likely winner, but not by a wide margin. A draw would not be a surprise. Our final match prediction: a 1-1 scoreline, which aligns with the most recent H2H result and both teams' current form. For betting tips, the draw or CD Guadalajara SAD double chance could offer value if odds become available.