CD Marathon Reserves - CD Olimpia Reserves prediction 24 September 2026

The CD Marathon Reserves vs CD Olimpia Reserves prediction for the Reserve League match on September 24, 2026, at 22:00 points to a tight contest where CD Olimpia Reserves hold a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, CD Olimpia Reserves have a 35% chance of winning, while CD Marathon Reserves have a 30% chance, and the draw is the most likely single outcome at 35%.

Team Form

CD Marathon Reserves come into this match with mixed results in their last five outings: two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their most recent match was a dominant 6-0 home victory over Estrella Roja Reserves on September 21. Before that, they drew 0-0 away at Genesis de Comayagua Reserves and lost 1-2 at home to CD Real Espana Reserves. The side has struggled for consistency, with a 0-3 away defeat to CD Choloma Reserves and a 1-0 away win at CD Platense Reserves rounding out the sequence.

CD Olimpia Reserves have also been inconsistent, recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They lost 2-3 at home to CD Platense Reserves on September 21, but previously won 3-0 away at Estrella Roja Reserves. A 0-0 draw at Estrella Roja Reserves, a 0-1 away loss to Olancho Reserves, and a 2-3 home defeat to Motagua Reserves complete their recent run. Both teams will be looking to find stability.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours CD Olimpia Reserves. In the last 12 meetings across all competitions, CD Olimpia Reserves have won 8, CD Marathon Reserves have won 2, and 2 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on May 19, 2026, finished 2-2. Before that, CD Olimpia Reserves won 4-0 at home on May 15, 2026. The overall trend shows CD Olimpia Reserves often getting the better of this fixture.

Win Probability: CD Marathon Reserves or CD Olimpia Reserves?

After analysing the odds, form, and head-to-head statistics, we assign the following win probabilities:

• CD Marathon Reserves win: 30%
• Draw: 35%
• CD Olimpia Reserves win: 35%

The bookmakers' odds (home 2.88, draw 2.38, away 2.88) imply a tight match with the draw as the most probable result. Adjusting for CD Olimpia Reserves' dominant head-to-head record (8 wins in 12 meetings) and the home side's slightly better recent form, the away team gets a marginal advantage in win probability. However, the draw remains a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Reserve League fixture are: CD Marathon Reserves 2.88, Draw 2.38, CD Olimpia Reserves 2.88. Bookmakers see the draw as the favourite, with both teams priced identically to win. Based on the stats, CD Olimpia Reserves are the more likely winner if there is one, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: a draw or a narrow away win.