CD Marathon Reserves - Estrella Roja Reserves prediction 21 September 2026

This CD Marathon Reserves vs Estrella Roja Reserves prediction covers the Reserve League match on Sep 21 at 22:00. CD Marathon Reserves are the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Estrella Roja Reserves have a 20% chance and the draw is rated at 35%. This betting preview uses the available team form, head-to-head record and 1X2 odds to answer who will win.

Team Form

• CD Marathon Reserves last five: D, L, L, W, D
• Estrella Roja Reserves last four: L, D, W, L

CD Marathon Reserves have one win, two draws and two losses in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 away at Genesis de Comayagua Reserves on Sep 14 and lost 1-2 at home to CD Real Espana Reserves on Sep 7. The only win in this sequence was a 1-0 away victory at CD Platense Reserves on Aug 25. That mixed form includes only one win and two home matches without a win.

Estrella Roja Reserves have one win, one draw and two losses in their last four matches. They drew 0-0 at home with CD Olimpia Reserves on Sep 14 and beat Juticalpa Reserves 3-1 at home on Sep 8. However, they lost 0-3 at home to CD Olimpia Reserves on Sep 17 and were beaten 7-0 away by Lobos UPNFM Reserves on Sep 1. The away side has conceded 11 goals in those four outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record shows no previous meetings between these teams. The data lists 0 wins for CD Marathon Reserves, 0 draws and 0 wins for Estrella Roja Reserves. With no H2H history, the prediction is based mostly on odds, current form and home advantage.

League Table Positions

The source data for this Reserve League fixture does not include league table positions, so no points gap can be factored into the prediction. The win probability below therefore leans on the odds and recent results.

Win Probability: CD Marathon Reserves or Estrella Roja Reserves?

Based on the odds and available team form, the outcome probabilities are:

• CD Marathon Reserves win: 45%
• Draw: 35%
• Estrella Roja Reserves win: 20%

The win probability calculation starts with the inverse of the bookmaker odds and normalizes them to remove the margin. The home odds range from 2.10 to 2.25, the draw is 2.40, and the away odds range from 4.00 to 4.33. The adjusted numbers reflect CD Marathon Reserves’ home advantage and mixed recent results. Estrella Roja Reserves have been inconsistent and carry a low away win chance after a 7-0 defeat at Lobos UPNFM Reserves. The conclusion is that CD Marathon Reserves are the more likely winner, but the draw is also a strong possibility.

CD Marathon Reserves vs Estrella Roja Reserves Prediction: Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see CD Marathon Reserves as the favorite. The pre-match 1X2 odds from the source are: home 2.10–2.25, draw 2.40, away 4.00–4.33. These betting odds imply a competitive match, with a home win favored but not overwhelmingly.

As a betting tip, the home win has the highest probability at 45%, so it is the logical match outcome pick. The draw at 2.40 also carries value because CD Marathon Reserves have recorded two draws in their last five games. Based on the stats, the final prediction is a narrow CD Marathon Reserves win or a draw, with a home win the single most likely result.