The CD Mirandes vs Zamora CF prediction for this Primera Federacion match on October 10, 2026, at Estadio Municipal de Anduva points to a closely fought contest. Our analysis gives CD Mirandes a 40% win probability, the draw a 35% chance, and Zamora CF a 25% shot at victory.
CD Mirandes enter this fixture with a recent form string of L, W, D, W, W. In their last five outings, they suffered a 1-0 away loss to Ponferradina on October 4, but previously secured a 1-0 home win over Unionistas Salamanca, a 2-2 draw at Real Union de Irun, a thrilling 4-3 away victory at Merida AD, and a comfortable 2-0 home success against UD Ourense. Notably, at the Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Mirandes have won both of their last two matches without conceding a single goal, scoring three times in the process. Overall, they have netted 7 goals and conceded 6 across the five games.
Zamora CF's last five results read W, W, L, W, L. They started with a 2-0 home win over CD Coria on October 4, followed by a 1-0 away win at Extremadura UD. However, they then lost 1-2 at home to CD Lugo, bounced back with a 2-1 away victory at Arenas Club de Getxo, and most recently fell 1-2 at home to UD Logrones. On their travels, Zamora have been impressive, winning both of their last two away matches by a single-goal margin. Their goal tally stands at 7 scored and 5 conceded in the last five, indicating a slightly tighter defense than Mirandes.
There is no head-to-head record between CD Mirandes and Zamora CF. The two clubs have never met in an official competition, making this their inaugural encounter.
We calculate the win probabilities for this match as follows: CD Mirandes 40%, draw 35%, Zamora CF 25%. These figures are derived from the bookmakers' opening odds (home 2.62, draw 2.05, away 3.65), which implied a 33.4% home win, 42.7% draw, and 23.9% away win after removing the margin. The adjustment in favor of CD Mirandes reflects their perfect home record in the last two games (two wins, no goals conceded) and a stronger overall form with three victories in five matches. Zamora CF's away form is solid, but their two recent home defeats raise doubts about their consistency. The draw probability remains high because both teams have shown they can cancel each other out โ Mirandes drew one of their last five, while Zamora's matches have been tight. Ultimately, CD Mirandes holds a slight edge, but the draw is a very realistic outcome.
The best available odds for the full-time result are 2.62 for a CD Mirandes win, 2.05 for the draw, and 3.65 for a Zamora CF victory. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with the draw consistently priced as the most likely single outcome. Our prediction, based on the stats, leans towards a home win. CD Mirandes' strong defensive showings at Anduva and their attacking output (7 goals in 5 games) give them the tools to edge this contest. For betting tips, a home win at 2.62 offers value compared to our 40% probability, while the draw at 2.05 is a safer but shorter-priced option. A double chance bet on CD Mirandes or draw could also be a prudent choice.