CD Rancagua Sur - Comunal Cabrero prediction 22 August 2026
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The CD Rancagua Sur vs Comunal Cabrero prediction for this Tercera Division clash on August 22, 2026, at 16:00 UTC points to a very evenly matched contest. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Comunal Cabrero has a slight edge with a 33% win probability, while CD Rancagua Sur sits at 31%, and the draw is the most likely outcome at 36%.
Team Form
CD Rancagua Sur come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W3 D2). Their recent results:
- Aug 16: Aguara 1โ1 CD Rancagua Sur (D)
- Aug 08: CD Rancagua Sur 2โ1 CDS Constitucion Unido (W)
- Aug 01: Puente Alto 1โ5 CD Rancagua Sur (W)
- Jul 26: Futuro FC 0โ1 CD Rancagua Sur (W)
- Jul 11: Chimbarongo 1โ1 CD Rancagua Sur (D)
They have scored 10 goals in these five matches, showing attacking strength, especially away from home. Their only home game in this stretch was a 2-1 victory.
Comunal Cabrero are also unbeaten in their last five (W2 D3). Their recent form:
- Aug 16: Comunal Cabrero 4โ0 Deportes Naval (W)
- Aug 04: Comunal Cabrero 1โ1 Malleco Unido (D)
- Aug 02: Comunal Cabrero 0โ0 Malleco Unido (D)
- Jul 26: Imperial Unido 1โ1 Comunal Cabrero (D)
- Jul 04: Lautaro de Buin 1โ5 Comunal Cabrero (W)
They have kept two clean sheets and scored 11 goals in this period, demonstrating solid defense and potent attack. Their away record in these five includes a win and a draw.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met three times previously, all in the Primera B division. Comunal Cabrero hold the advantage with two wins and one draw; CD Rancagua Sur are yet to record a victory.
- Aug 18, 2023: Comunal Cabrero 1โ1 CD Rancagua Sur
- Jul 29, 2023: CD Rancagua Sur 0โ1 Comunal Cabrero
- May 26, 2023: CD Rancagua Sur 0โ2 Comunal Cabrero
The head-to-head record clearly favors the away side, with Comunal Cabrero scoring four goals and conceding just one across the three encounters.
CD Rancagua Sur vs Comunal Cabrero Prediction: Win Probability & Odds
Using the available bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for recent form and H2H, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- CD Rancagua Sur win: 31%
- Draw: 36%
- Comunal Cabrero win: 33%
The first set of odds (home 2.95, draw 2.30, away 2.85) implies probabilities of 30.1% home, 38.7% draw, and 31.2% away after removing the bookmaker margin. We have slightly raised CD Rancagua Sur's chance due to their strong unbeaten run and home advantage, while lowering the draw probability because both teams have shown the ability to score and win games. Comunal Cabrero's historical edge and solid away performances keep them as the marginal favorite to win, but a stalemate remains the single most probable outcome.
Bookmakers offer varying lines: one lists home 2.95, draw 2.30, away 2.85; another offers home 2.45, draw 3.30, away 2.45. The tight odds reflect the balanced nature of this fixture. Based on the stats, our match prediction is a draw, with Comunal Cabrero more likely to snatch a win than CD Rancagua Sur.
CD Rancagua Sur vs Comunal Cabrero โ FAQ
- Who will win CD Rancagua Sur vs Comunal Cabrero?
- According to our win probability analysis, Comunal Cabrero has a 33% chance of winning, CD Rancagua Sur 31%, and the draw 36%. Therefore, a draw is the most likely result, but Comunal Cabrero is the slight favorite to win.
- What is the win probability for Comunal Cabrero?
- Comunal Cabrero has a 33% win probability. This is based on bookmaker odds adjusted for their unbeaten away form and a dominant head-to-head record against CD Rancagua Sur.
- When is the CD Rancagua Sur vs Comunal Cabrero match?
- The match is scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. It is a Tercera Division fixture in Chile.
- What are the odds for the match?
- One bookmaker offers odds of home 2.95, draw 2.30, away 2.85. Another lists home 2.45, draw 3.30, away 2.45. These odds reflect a very close contest.
- What is the head-to-head record between CD Rancagua Sur and Comunal Cabrero?
- In three previous meetings, Comunal Cabrero has won twice and drawn once. CD Rancagua Sur has never beaten Comunal Cabrero, with the aggregate score 4-1 in favor of Comunal Cabrero.