Imperial Unido - CD Rancagua Sur prediction 13 October 2026

The Imperial Unido vs CD Rancagua Sur prediction for October 13, 2026 in Chile's Tercera Division points to CD Rancagua Sur as the favourite. Bookmakers price the away side at 1.73, and our win probability model gives CD Rancagua Sur about a 52% chance of taking all three points. This page covers team form, head-to-head record, odds, and betting tips for the match.

Team Form

Imperial Unido come into this match with one win in their last five Tercera Division outings. Their sequence reads W, L, L, L, L, with the only win coming away at Deportes Naval de Talcahuano on October 4, 2026 by 1–0. Three of the four defeats were at home: 1–2 against Chimbarongo, 0–1 against Rodelindo Roman, and 0–3 against Lautaro de Buin. The other loss was 2–4 at Quintero Unido on August 15.

CD Rancagua Sur are in much better shape, unbeaten in their last five with three wins and two draws. Their recent form line is D, W, W, D, W. They drew 1–1 at Quintero Unido on September 26, beat Deportes Naval de Talcahuano 4–1 at home, beat Comunal Cabrero 5–1 at home, drew 1–1 at Aguara, and beat CDS Constitucion Unido 2–1 at home.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met once in the supplied head-to-head data. On June 27, 2026, CD Rancagua Sur beat Imperial Unido 2–1 at home in the Tercera Division. That gives CD Rancagua Sur a one-match edge in the H2H record; Imperial Unido have no wins and there are no draws between them.

League Table Positions

The match data feed does not include current league table positions or points for the Tercera Division, so no table-based comparison is available here. The prediction therefore relies on the recent form, the head-to-head result, and the bookmaker odds shown below.

Win Probability: Imperial Unido or CD Rancagua Sur?

Using the 1X2 odds of 3.75 for Imperial Unido, 3.70 for the draw, and 1.73 for CD Rancagua Sur as the base and removing the bookmaker margin, the normalized probabilities are roughly 24% for an Imperial Unido win, 24% for the draw, and 52% for a CD Rancagua Sur win. CD Rancagua Sur's strong away form and their only previous H2H win support the away-favourite status, so we hold the win probability at 52% for CD Rancagua Sur, 24% for the draw, and 24% for Imperial Unido.

Conclusion: CD Rancagua Sur is more likely to win this match, with about a 52% chance. The draw is the second most likely single outcome, but if you are asking who will win, the away side has the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see CD Rancagua Sur as the clear favourite in this Tercera Division fixture. The current odds are 1.73 for a CD Rancagua Sur win, 3.75 for an Imperial Unido home win, and 3.70 for the draw. These odds imply the away side has more than a 50% chance of winning, which matches the form guide.

Final match prediction: based on the stats, CD Rancagua Sur to win is the most likely outcome. Imperial Unido's poor recent home run — three straight home defeats — makes them vulnerable, while CD Rancagua Sur are unbeaten in five and have scored 12 goals across their last four completed matches in this sample. A draw is possible, but the value and probability sit with the away side.