Puerto Montt - Cd San Luis DE Quillota prediction 12 October 2026

Our Puerto Montt vs Cd San Luis DE Quillota prediction for the Primera B match on Oct 12, 2026, at 16:30 indicates that the visitors are strong favorites. Based on form, league table, and head-to-head data, Cd San Luis DE Quillota has a 45% chance of winning, compared to 25% for the home side and a 30% likelihood of a draw.

Team Form

Puerto Montt enters this fixture in poor form, with just one win from their last five matches (L, L, L, W, L). Their most recent outing was a 3–0 defeat away to Deportes Copiapo on Oct 3. The home defeat to Rangers de Talca (1–2) and a heavy loss at Magallanes (0–2) highlight their struggles.

Cd San Luis DE Quillota, meanwhile, is flying high. They have recorded four wins and one draw in their last five (W, W, W, D, W). In their latest game, they beat Union Espanola 2–0 at home on Oct 4. Their attack has been potent, scoring two or more goals in three of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these sides stands at 4 home wins, 3 draws, and 3 away wins across 10 meetings. In the most recent clash, on May 17, 2026, Cd San Luis DE Quillota defeated Puerto Montt 4–1 at home. This result extends the away side's recent dominance in this fixture.

League Table Positions

As of now, Cd San Luis DE Quillota sits in 2nd place in the Primera B table with 47 points from 26 games, while Puerto Montt is down in 10th with 34 points. The gap in both points and goals is significant: Cd San Luis DE Quillota has 13 wins and just 5 losses, whereas Puerto Montt has lost 12 times. Even on the road, Cd San Luis DE Quillota ranks 6th with 16 points from 12 away matches, showing resilience away from home.

Win Probability: Puerto Montt or Cd San Luis DE Quillota?

After analyzing the implied odds from bookmakers and adjusting for team form and league position, here are the win probabilities for this match:

• Puerto Montt: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Cd San Luis DE Quillota: 45%

The initial market odds (average around 2.88 for a home win, 2.32 for a draw, 2.54 for an away win) suggest a draw is the most likely outcome. However, the away side’s superior form (4W, 1D in last 5) and their 2nd-place standing give them a clear edge. The home team’s recent losses, including three in a row before their lone win, lower their chances. Thus, Cd San Luis DE Quillota is the most probable winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering varying odds: the home win pays around 2.88, the draw 2.32, and an away victory 2.54. These odds imply a tight game with no clear favorite, but the draw is marginally the favored outcome in the raw figures. Our adjusted prediction, however, leans toward an away win. Based on the stats, Cd San Luis DE Quillota has a 45% likelihood of taking all three points. Bettors looking for value may therefore find the away win odds attractive.

In conclusion, for the Puerto Montt vs Cd San Luis DE Quillota prediction, we see the visitors as the most reliable pick to win.