Union San Felipe - Cd San Luis DE Quillota prediction 30 September 2026

The Union San Felipe vs Cd San Luis DE Quillota prediction for the Primera B match on September 30, 2026, at 22:00 local time at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe points toward an away-favored contest. Based on recent form, league standings, and head-to-head data, Cd San Luis DE Quillota holds a 40% win probability, while Union San Felipe has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 35%. The visitors are clearly the stronger side entering this fixture.

Team Form

Union San Felipe's recent form is poor; they are winless in their last five matches with two losses and three draws. Their last game ended in a heavy 1–4 home defeat against Deportes Copiapo, following three consecutive 0–0 draws (against Cd San Luis DE Quillota, Magallanes, and Deportes Santa Cruz) and a 0–2 away loss at Curico Unido. They have scored just one goal in those five outings, highlighting a major attacking issue.

Cd San Luis DE Quillota, on the other hand, arrives in decent shape. They recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. Victories came against Antofagasta (2–1 at home), Cobreloa (4–2 at home), and Deportes Iquique (1–0 away). Their only blip was a 0–1 home loss to Santiago Wanderers, while they drew 0–0 at Union San Felipe in the most recent head-to-head. With seven goals scored in this period, they show much better offensive output.

Head-to-Head Record

Across 15 historical meetings between these sides, the home team has won 6 times, with 5 draws and 4 away victories. In the most recent five encounters, Cd San Luis DE Quillota have dominated: a 0–0 draw on September 8, 2026, a 4–0 home win on May 4, 2026, a 2–1 away win on April 12, 2025, and a 3–1 home win on March 11, 2024. Union San Felipe's last win in this fixture was a 1–0 home success on August 16, 2025. The trend clearly favors the away side in recent matchups.

League Table Positions

Cd San Luis DE Quillota sits 3rd in the Primera B overall standings with 41 points from 24 matches (11 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses). They have scored 38 goals and conceded 29. Union San Felipe does not appear in the provided top 12, indicating a lower-table position and a difficult season. In the away standings, Cd San Luis DE Quillota is ranked 8th with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses from 11 away games (13 points, 11 goals scored, 15 conceded). Union San Felipe is absent from the home top 8, further underlining their struggles this campaign.

Win Probability: Union San Felipe or Cd San Luis DE Quillota?

After analyzing all available data—form, H2H record, league positions, and the home/away factor—we assign the following win probabilities: Union San Felipe win 25%, draw 35%, Cd San Luis DE Quillota win 40%. The home side's poor attacking form (one goal in five games) and lowly league status reduce their chances despite home advantage. Cd San Luis DE Quillota's superior results and better H2H record make them the favorite, but their away record (only 3 wins in 11) and Union San Felipe's habit of drawing at home (three 0–0 draws in the last four home matches) increase the likelihood of a stalemate. Therefore, the most probable outcome is an away win, followed closely by a draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds from bookmakers are not available at this time for the Union San Felipe vs Cd San Luis DE Quillota match. Based solely on the statistics and form data, our match prediction leans toward Cd San Luis DE Quillota securing the win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. A 1–0 or 2–1 away win appears the most realistic scoreline, while 0–0 or 1–1 represent the most likely draw results. Union San Felipe would need a major turnaround in attack to threaten an upset.