CD Tepatitlan de Morelos - Cancun FC prediction 24 October 2026
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
Cancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FC
Piratas VeracruzCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD TapatioCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAtletico MoreliaCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosMineros de ZacatecasVenados FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosDorados de SinaloaCruz Azul HidalgoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTlaxcala FCAlebrijes de OaxacaCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAtletico La PazCorrecaminos UATCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAlacranes de DurangoTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCancun FCVenados FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCCancun FCCD TapatioTlaxcala FCCancun FCCancun FCAlebrijes de OaxacaDorados de SinaloaCancun FCCorrecaminos UATCancun FCCancun FCCruz Azul HidalgoCancun FCAtletico La PazPiratas VeracruzCancun FCCancun FCAlacranes de DurangoAtletico MoreliaCancun FCCancun FCLeones Negros UDGDorados de SinaloaCancun FC- 15'EventT. Gigena
- 27'EventJ. Rodrรญguez
- 46'EventA. Cardenas
CD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCancun FCCD Tepatitlan de Morelos| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico La Paz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Atletico Morelia | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:16 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas Veracruz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Cancun FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  CD Tapatio | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos UAT | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tampico Madero | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | CD Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10:41 | -31 | 7 |
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun FC Prediction (Oct 24)
The CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun FC prediction points towards an away win, with Cancun FC having a 48% chance of victory. This Liga de Expansion MX match kicks off on Oct 24 at 02:00. Based on the odds and recent form, Cancun FC are the favourites, though a draw is also a strong possibility.
Team Form
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos are in poor form, with three losses, one draw and one win in their last five matches (L, L, D, W, L). They've conceded heavily, losing 3-0 to Piratas Veracruz and 4-1 to CD Tapatio. Their only recent home win was a 3-1 victory over Tampico Madero on Oct 3.
Cancun FC's form is mixed but slightly better: two draws, two wins, and one loss (D, D, W, L, W). They drew 1-1 with Venados FC and 2-2 with Mineros de Zacatecas in their last two outings. At home, they beat CD Tapatio 1-0 and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0, showing their strength on familiar turf.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record favours Cancun FC. In 12 meetings, CD Tepatitlan de Morelos have won 3, Cancun FC have won 6, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent encounter on Mar 29, 2026, ended 2-2, while Cancun FC won 2-1 on their last visit here on Oct 18, 2025. CD Tepatitlan de Morelos's last win was a 3-0 home victory on Aug 31, 2023.
League Table Positions
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos are not in the top 12 of the overall league table, indicating a tough season. Cancun FC sit 7th overall with 19 points from 13 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). At home, Cancun FC are 5th with 13 points from 7 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Away from home, Cancun FC are 8th with 6 points from 6 games (1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses). CD Tepatitlan de Morelos's absence from the top standings highlights their struggles.
Win Probability: CD Tepatitlan de Morelos or Cancun FC?
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos has a 24% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Cancun FC has a 48% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 4.10, draw 2.40, away 2.25) and adjusts for form and H2H record. Cancun FC's superior league position (7th vs unranked) and dominant head-to-head record (6 wins) heavily influence the probabilities. The home side's poor recent form (L, L, D, W, L) and defensive frailties make an away win the most likely outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varying odds: home win at 3.80 to 4.10, draw at 2.35 to 3.80, and away win at 1.73 to 2.25. The lowest away odds (1.73) reflect Cancun FC's favourite status. Based on the stats, Cancun FC are the predicted winners, but the high draw probability means a stalemate is a live possibility. Our CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun FC prediction is an away win or draw, with Cancun FC likely to extend their H2H dominance.
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun FC โ FAQ
- Who will win CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun FC?
- Cancun FC are the most likely winners with a 48% probability, based on odds and form. CD Tepatitlan de Morelos have a 24% chance, and the draw is at 28%. Cancun FC's strong head-to-head record and higher league position make them favourites.
- What is the win probability for Cancun FC?
- Cancun FC have a 48% chance of winning. This is influenced by their 6 head-to-head wins, better league standing (7th), and the home team's poor recent form of three losses in five matches.
- When is the CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun FC match?
- The match is on Oct 24 at 02:00. It is a Liga de Expansion MX fixture, taking place in Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds vary across bookmakers: a CD Tepatitlan de Morelos win is priced between 3.75 and 4.10, a draw between 2.35 and 3.80, and a Cancun FC win between 1.73 and 2.25. Cancun FC are the clear favourites.