CD Tepatitlan de Morelos - Tampico Madero prediction 3 October 2026
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
Tampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de Morelos
Cancun FCPiratas VeracruzCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD TapatioCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAtletico MoreliaCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosMineros de ZacatecasVenados FCCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosDorados de SinaloaCruz Azul HidalgoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTlaxcala FCAlebrijes de OaxacaCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAtletico La PazCorrecaminos UATCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosAlacranes de DurangoTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoAtletico La PazAtletico MoreliaTampico MaderoTampico MaderoAlacranes de DurangoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoCorrecaminos UATTampico MaderoTampico MaderoDorados de SinaloaTlaxcala FCTampico MaderoTampico MaderoVenados FCMineros de ZacatecasTampico MaderoTampico MaderoAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDGTampico MaderoTampico MaderoCruz Azul HidalgoCD TapatioTampico MaderoTampico MaderoPiratas VeracruzTampico MaderoClub AmericaCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico MaderoTampico MaderoCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico La Paz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Atletico Morelia | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:16 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas Veracruz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 |  Cancun FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  CD Tapatio | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos UAT | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Tampico Madero | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | CD Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10:41 | -31 | 7 |
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero Prediction (Oct 3)
Our CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero prediction for this Liga de Expansion MX match on Oct 3 at 02:00 is based on a detailed analysis of the latest team form, head-to-head record, and league standings. Tampico Madero enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while CD Tepatitlan de Morelos has a 30% chance of victory.
Team Form
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos is struggling badly, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, L, W). They have conceded heavily, including a 5-0 defeat to Venados FC and a 6-0 loss to Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Their only recent win was a 3-2 home victory against Tlaxcala FC on Aug 21.
Tampico Madero's form is also mixed but slightly better, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L, D, L, W, L). They managed a 4-3 home win over Venados FC on Sep 6, but have lost their last away match 1-0 to Correcaminos UAT.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, Tampico Madero has a slight edge with 4 wins to CD Tepatitlan de Morelos' 3, alongside 3 draws. The most recent encounters heavily favor CD Tepatitlan de Morelos, who won three straight matches in May 2026 (1-0, 3-1, and 1-0). However, Tampico Madero won the latest fixture 2-0 on May 31, 2026.
League Table Positions
Both teams are in the lower half of the Liga de Expansion MX table. Tampico Madero sits 12th with 11 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), scoring 11 and conceding 15. CD Tepatitlan de Morelos is not listed in the top 12 overall, indicating a lower position. At home, Tampico Madero is strong, ranked 4th with 11 points from 5 games and unbeaten (3 wins, 2 draws). CD Tepatitlan de Morelos does not appear in the home or away standings provided, suggesting poor performance in both contexts.
Win Probability: CD Tepatitlan de Morelos or Tampico Madero?
Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Tampico Madero has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and CD Tepatitlan de Morelos has a 25% chance. The odds imply a tight contest, but Tampico Madero's superior league position and strong home record (even as the away team here) give them the edge. CD Tepatitlan de Morelos' terrible defensive form, conceding 16 goals in their last 5 matches, significantly reduces their chances.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for the match vary: home win at 3.90 to 4.75, draw at 2.25 to 2.50, and away win at 2.00 to 2.38. The lowest away odds of 2.00 indicate that bookmakers see Tampico Madero as the favorite. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards an away win or a draw, with Tampico Madero more likely to secure the result.
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero โ FAQ
- Who will win CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero?
- Tampico Madero is the predicted winner with a 45% probability, compared to 25% for CD Tepatitlan de Morelos and a 30% chance of a draw. This is based on Tampico Madero's higher league position, better recent defensive record, and the bookmakers' odds favoring an away victory.
- What is the win probability for Tampico Madero?
- Tampico Madero has a 45% win probability. This calculation uses the inverse of the bookmaker odds (adjusted for margin) and factors in their unbeaten home record this season and CD Tepatitlan de Morelos' run of four losses in five matches.
- When is the CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Tampico Madero match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 local time. It is a Liga de Expansion MX fixture in Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The available 1X2 odds show a home win for CD Tepatitlan de Morelos priced between 3.80 and 4.75, a draw between 2.25 and 2.50, and an away win for Tampico Madero between 2.00 and 2.38. The lowest odds are for an away victory.