San Francisco Reserves - CD Universitario II prediction 1 October 2026

San Francisco Reserves vs CD Universitario II prediction: San Francisco Reserves are the favorites to win this Liga Prom match on Oct 1, 2026 at 15:00. The hosts have a 45% chance of victory, while the draw is at 27% and CD Universitario II sit at 28%.

Team Form

San Francisco Reserves enter this match in strong recent form, with four wins from their last five Liga Prom outings. Their results read W, W, W, L, W, including a 3-0 home win over Rayados de Chiriqui Mario Méndez and a 3-1 home win over Union Cocle Reserve. They also won away at La Familia FC (2-1) and Herrera Reserves (1-0). The only defeat in that run was a 1-4 away loss to Veraguas FC Reserves. In those five matches, they scored 10 goals and conceded 6.

CD Universitario II have struggled for consistency, posting L, L, D, W, L in their last five matches. Their recent away performances are a concern: a 1-5 defeat at Aguilas UP and a 1-3 loss at SD Atletico Nacional. They did manage a 2-1 home win over CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves, but overall form is weaker than the hosts. In the same span, CD Universitario II scored 4 goals and conceded 10.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met four times in Liga Prom history. San Francisco Reserves lead the head-to-head with 2 wins, while CD Universitario II have 1 win and there has been 1 draw. The H2H matches have produced 12 goals in total, an average of 3.0 goals per game.

• Mar 28, 2026: San Francisco Reserves 0-1 CD Universitario II
• Aug 20, 2025: CD Universitario II 1-2 San Francisco Reserves
• Mar 5, 2025: San Francisco Reserves 3-3 CD Universitario II
• Mar 8, 2024: San Francisco Reserves 2-0 CD Universitario II

Win Probability: San Francisco Reserves or CD Universitario II?

After removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities from the 1X2 odds average around 42% for a home win, 28% for the draw, and 29% for an away win. Adjusting for San Francisco Reserves' stronger recent form (four wins in five) and home advantage, plus their positive head-to-head record, the final win probability is San Francisco Reserves 45%, draw 27%, and CD Universitario II 28%. CD Universitario II's poor away form in recent weeks reduces their chances, though their last head-to-head meeting ended in a 1-0 away win for them.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see San Francisco Reserves as the favorite. The best available 1X2 odds are 1.95 for a home win, 2.50 for the draw, and 2.90 for an away win. Other bookmakers offer up to 2.50 for the home side, 4.00 for the draw, and 3.25 for CD Universitario II. For betting tips, the home win market is the most supported by the numbers, but a draw cannot be ruled out given one bookmaker prices the home win and draw equally at 2.50.

Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a San Francisco Reserves win. The combination of home advantage, better recent form, and a positive head-to-head record makes San Francisco Reserves the more probable winner, but the match is not one-sided enough for very high confidence.