Botafogo SP - Ceara CE prediction 13 October 2026

This Botafogo SP vs Ceara CE prediction for October 13, 2026, in Brazil’s Serie B sees Botafogo SP as a slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while the draw is at 29% and Ceara CE holds a 31% chance. The match kicks off at 01:00 at Estádio Santa Cruz in Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo.

Team Form

Botafogo SP’s recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five Serie B matches. They won away at Operario PR (2-1) and at home against Ponte Preta SP (2-0), but lost at home to Vila Nova GO (0-1) and Goias GO (1-3), and drew away at Athletic Club MG (1-1).

Ceara CE comes into this fixture unbeaten in five matches, recording three wins and two draws. Their recent run includes home wins over Criciuma SC (1-0) and Gremio Novorizontino SP (2-1), away wins at Avai SC (1-0), and away draws with Operario PR (2-2) and Fortaleza CE (1-1).

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head data shows 2 home wins, 4 draws, and 2 away wins across all listed meetings. In the most recent five matches, Botafogo SP won twice, Ceara CE won twice, and one match ended level. At Estádio Santa Cruz specifically, the last two meetings between these clubs were a 1-4 Ceara CE away win in November 2024 and a 2-2 draw in November 2023. Ceara CE also won 3-0 at home in July 2023, while Botafogo SP took a 1-0 away win in June 2026 and a 3-1 away win in April 2022.

League Table Positions

The provided Serie B standings table lists only the top 12 teams overall, and neither Botafogo SP nor Ceara CE appears in that list. Similarly, Botafogo SP is absent from the top 8 home standings, and Ceara CE is not in the top 8 away standings. This places both sides outside the leading group of the division, making this a mid-to-lower table clash with limited direct table pressure.

Win Probability: Botafogo SP or Ceara CE?

Using the first bookmaker odds from the JSON data (home 2.14, draw 3.33, away 3.78) as the base, the implied probabilities before adjustments are 45.3% for Botafogo SP, 29.1% for the draw, and 25.6% for Ceara CE. After adjusting for Ceara CE’s stronger recent form and their positive head-to-head record at this venue, the probabilities shift to Botafogo SP 40%, draw 29%, Ceara CE 31%. Botafogo SP retains a slight edge due to home advantage, but Ceara CE’s five-match unbeaten run makes this a close contest.

Odds & Match Prediction

Among the listed bookmaker odds, the most standard set shows Botafogo SP at 2.14, the draw at 3.33, and Ceara CE at 3.78. Bookmakers see Botafogo SP as the favorite, but Ceara CE’s away resilience suggests value on the away side or the draw. Based on the stats, the final Botafogo SP vs Ceara CE prediction is a tight match, with Botafogo SP slightly more likely to win at 40%, but a draw or Ceara CE win are also strong possibilities. Betting tips: a double chance on Ceara CE or draw could offer value, while more cautious bettors may consider under 2.5 goals given both teams’ mixed scoring in recent away/home splits.