Celaya CF - Jaguares de Chiapas prediction 6 October 2026
Celaya CF
Jaguares de ChiapasCelaya CF
Cordobes FCRacing De VeracruzCelaya CFCelaya CFJaguares de ChiapasDeportiva VenadosCelaya CFCelaya CFMontanesesChapulinerosCelaya CFCelaya CFTapachula Soconusco FCPioneros de CancunCelaya CFCimarrones de SonoraCelaya CFCimarrones de SonoraCelaya CFCelaya CFCimarrones de SonoraLeones Negros UDG IICelaya CFCelaya CFLeones Negros UDG IICelaya CFJaguares de ChiapasMontanesesCelaya CFJaguares de ChiapasReboceros de La PiedadPioneros de CancunJaguares de ChiapasJaguares de ChiapasInter Playa del CarmenCelaya CFJaguares de ChiapasJaguares de ChiapasRacing De VeracruzDeportiva VenadosJaguares de ChiapasJaguares de ChiapasMontanesesChapulinerosJaguares de ChiapasCelaya CFJaguares de ChiapasJaguares de ChiapasChapulinerosRacing De VeracruzJaguares de ChiapasJaguares de ChiapasTapachula Soconusco FCDeportiva VenadosJaguares de ChiapasJaguares de ChiapasNeza FCMexicali FCJaguares de ChiapasCelaya CFJaguares de ChiapasCelaya CFJaguares de ChiapasJaguares de ChiapasCelaya CF| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing De Veracruz | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | +15 | 15 |
| 2 |  CD Irapuato II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Celaya 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16:6 | +10 | 9 |
| 5 |  Huracanes Izcalli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul Lagunas | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 |  CD Ayense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Heroes de Zaci 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:17 | -11 | 4 |
| 10 |  Atletico Hidalgo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:18 | -15 | 0 |
Celaya CF vs Jaguares de Chiapas Prediction (Oct 6)
The Celaya CF vs Jaguares de Chiapas prediction points to a home victory in this Liga Premier Serie A clash on October 6, 2026. Based on form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Celaya CF enters the match as the clear favorite with a 50% win probability, while Jaguares de Chiapas faces an uphill battle at just 22%.
Team Form
Celaya CF is unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws. Their most recent results include a 2-2 draw at Deportiva Venados, a 2-1 home win over Montaneses, a 1-1 draw at Chapulineros, a 2-0 home victory against Tapachula Soconusco FC, and a commanding 3-0 away win at Pioneros de Cancun. Over this stretch, they scored 10 goals and conceded only 4.
Jaguares de Chiapas has managed just one win in their last five outings, along with three draws and one defeat. Their form line reads: a 1-1 home draw with Racing De Veracruz, a 0-2 away loss to Deportiva Venados, a 2-2 home draw against Montaneses, a 1-0 away win at Chapulineros, and a 1-1 draw at Celaya CF in April. They netted 5 goals and allowed 6 in this period.
Head-to-Head Record
The two sides have met twice in Liga Premier Serie A, with Celaya CF holding the upper hand. On April 12, 2026, the teams played a 1-1 draw at Celaya. Earlier, on November 23, 2025, Celaya CF secured a 1-0 away victory. The head-to-head tally stands at one win for Celaya CF, one draw, and no wins for Jaguares de Chiapas.
League Table Positions
Celaya CF sits 2nd in the overall standings with 13 points from 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 4. At home, they are perfect with 2 wins from 2, scoring 4 and conceding just 1. Jaguares de Chiapas is 12th with 4 points from 4 games (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses), having scored 4 and conceded 6. The gap in quality and consistency is significant.
Win Probability: Celaya CF or Jaguares de Chiapas?
After analyzing all available data, the outcome probabilities are: Celaya CF win โ 50%, draw โ 28%, Jaguares de Chiapas win โ 22%. The bookmakers' average implied probabilities (38% home, 37% draw, 25% away) were adjusted upward for Celaya CF due to their superior form, unbeaten H2H record, strong home performances, and much higher league position. Jaguares de Chiapas' low win probability reflects their struggles on the road and poor overall record.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. The best available home win odds range from 2.10 to 2.50, the draw from 2.10 to 3.10, and an away win from 3.25 to 3.80. These odds confirm Celaya CF as the favorite, though the relatively short draw price suggests the market sees a stalemate as a real possibility. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home victory for Celaya CF. A draw cannot be ruled out, but Jaguares de Chiapas is unlikely to take all three points.
Celaya CF vs Jaguares de Chiapas โ FAQ
- Who will win Celaya CF vs Jaguares de Chiapas?
- Celaya CF is the most likely winner with a 50% probability. A draw has a 28% chance, while Jaguares de Chiapas has a 22% chance of winning. These percentages are based on odds, recent form, head-to-head results, and league standings.
- What is the win probability for Celaya CF?
- Celaya CF has a 50% chance to win the match. This high probability is driven by their unbeaten run of five games, a perfect home record this season, a 2nd-place league position, and an undefeated head-to-head record against Jaguares de Chiapas.
- When is the Celaya CF vs Jaguares de Chiapas match?
- The match is scheduled for October 6, 2026, with a kick-off time of 03:05 (local time, +01:00). It will be played as part of the Liga Premier Serie A in Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary across bookmakers: a home win for Celaya CF is priced between 2.10 and 2.50, a draw between 2.10 and 3.10, and an away win for Jaguares de Chiapas between 3.25 and 3.80. These odds imply Celaya CF is the favorite, but the draw is also considered a plausible result.