Celtic Women vs Hearts Women prediction: the Premier League Women match on Oct 21 at 19:30 in Scotland favours Celtic Women, with a 43% win probability compared to 32% for Hearts Women and 25% for the draw.
Who will win? Based on the stats, Celtic Women are the more likely side, but Hearts Women have recent head-to-head wins and a competitive away record. This betting tips preview breaks down team form, head-to-head record, odds and win probability.
Celtic Women come into this match with four wins in their last five games. Their recent league results: a 6-0 away win at Aberdeen Women, a 4-0 home win over Spartans Women, a 2-5 away loss to Glasgow Rangers Women, a 1-0 home win against Motherwell Women and a 3-2 away win at Partick Thistle Women. That gives the home team a strong W-W-L-W-W pattern.
Hearts Women have two wins, one defeat and two draws in their last five. They beat Partick Thistle Women 6-1 at home, won 3-2 at Hibernian Women, lost 4-0 at Real Sociedad Women in the Europa Cup, drew 2-2 at home with Glasgow City Women and drew 0-0 at home with Real Sociedad Women. Their recent domestic form is solid, but the away loss in Europe exposed defensive problems.
Celtic Women lead the overall head-to-head with 13 wins to Hearts Womenโs 4, plus 3 draws. However, the last five meetings have been tight: Celtic Women won twice, Hearts Women won twice and one match ended level.
Although the overall H2H record favours Celtic Women heavily, recent meetings show Hearts Women can match them, especially on the break.
Based on the available odds, team form and H2H record, the win probability is: Celtic Women 43%, draw 25%, Hearts Women 32%.
The odds imply a close contest, but the normalised inverse odds give a base that is then adjusted for Celtic Womenโs stronger recent league form, home advantage and the 13-4 overall head-to-head lead. Hearts Womenโs recent H2H wins and two domestic wins keep their probability above 30%.
Conclusion: Celtic Women are the more likely winner, but this is not a one-sided match.
Bookmakers have not separated these teams clearly. The available 1X2 odds range from 2.32 to 3.00 for a Celtic Women win, 2.25 to 3.35 for a draw, and 2.55 to 3.00 for a Hearts Women win. The shortest home price of 2.32 suggests one bookmaker sees Celtic Women as the favourite, while the 2.55 away price indicates strong respect for Hearts Women.
Based on the stats, Celtic Women have the highest win probability at 43%. The recommended betting tip is a Celtic Women home win, but the draw is a live runner at 25%.