Mauritania - Central African Republic prediction 24 September 2026
Mauritania
Central African Republic
BeninMauritaniaMauritaniaCentral African RepublicNigerMauritaniaAngolaMauritaniaArgentinaMauritaniaMauritaniaKuwaitTunisiaMauritaniaSenegalMauritaniaSudanMauritaniaMauritaniaSouth SudanMauritaniaTogoMauritaniaCongo DRTogoMauritaniaMoroccoMauritaniaMauritaniaMaliCentral African RepublicBurkina FasoMauritaniaCentral African RepublicAngolaCentral African RepublicCentral African RepublicTogoChadCentral African RepublicCentral African RepublicGhanaCentral African RepublicComorosMadagascarCentral African RepublicCentral African RepublicMaliCentral African RepublicMadagascarCentral African RepublicPapua New GuineaCentral African RepublicBhutanMaliCentral African RepublicComorosCentral African RepublicGhanaCentral African RepublicMauritaniaCentral African RepublicCentral African RepublicMauritaniaMauritaniaCentral African RepublicMauritaniaCentral African Republic| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 |  Cote d'Ivoire | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 |  Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 |  Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 |  Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |  Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 26 |  Namibia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 27 |  Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 28 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |  Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 30 |  Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 31 |  Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 32 |  Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 33 |  Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 34 |  Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 35 |  Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 36 |  Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 37 |  Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 38 |  Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 39 |  Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 40 |  Cape Verde | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 41 |  Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 42 |  South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 43 |  Lesotho | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 44 |  Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 45 |  Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 46 |  Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 47 | Central African Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 48 |  Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Mauritania vs Central African Republic Prediction (Sep 24, 2026)
The Mauritania vs Central African Republic prediction for the African Cup of Nations match on September 24, 2026, at 17:00 local time, points to a home victory. Based on odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Mauritania has a 45% chance of winning, while the draw is at 35% and Central African Republic has a 20% chance.
Team Form
Mauritania Recent Results
Mauritania's last five matches show one win, two draws, and two losses:
- Jun 8, 2026: Niger 0-1 Mauritania (Win)
- Jun 5, 2026: Angola 1-1 Mauritania (Draw)
- Mar 27, 2026: Argentina 2-1 Mauritania (Loss)
- Nov 25, 2025: Mauritania 0-2 Kuwait (Loss)
- Nov 12, 2025: Tunisia 1-1 Mauritania (Draw)
The team has been competitive against similar-level opponents but struggled against stronger sides, conceding in four of those five games.
Central African Republic Recent Results
Central African Republic have had a tough run, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five:
- Jun 9, 2026: Angola 3-0 Central African Republic (Loss)
- Jun 5, 2026: Central African Republic 1-1 Togo (Draw)
- Oct 12, 2025: Chad 2-3 Central African Republic (Win)
- Oct 8, 2025: Central African Republic 0-5 Ghana (Loss)
- Sep 7, 2025: Central African Republic 0-2 Comoros (Loss)
They have conceded 13 goals in these five matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head Record
Mauritania have dominated this fixture historically. In three previous meetings, all in the African Cup of Nations, Mauritania have won all three. The scores were 1-0 away in March 2021, and 2-0 at home twice in November 2019. Central African Republic have yet to score against Mauritania in these encounters.
Mauritania vs Central African Republic Prediction
Win Probability
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Mauritania win โ 45%, draw โ 35%, Central African Republic win โ 20%. These numbers start from the betting odds (home 2.30, draw 2.10, away 5.00), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, giving base chances of 39.1% / 42.9% / 18.0%. We then adjust for the head-to-head record (Mauritania's 3-0-0 advantage) and home field, which shifts the balance toward a home win. Central African Republic's poor defensive form also reduces their chances.
Odds & Final Prediction
The current odds from bookmakers are: Mauritania win at 2.30, draw at 2.10, and Central African Republic win at 5.00. The draw is priced as the most probable single outcome, but our analysis gives Mauritania the edge. Our prediction: Mauritania to win, but a draw is a realistic possibility given both teams' recent results. For betting tips, a home win or draw double chance could be a safer option.
Mauritania vs Central African Republic โ FAQ
- Who will win Mauritania vs Central African Republic?
- Based on our analysis, Mauritania has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Central African Republic has a 20% chance. Mauritania is the favorite due to a perfect head-to-head record and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Mauritania?
- Mauritania has a 45% win probability. This is derived from the betting odds and adjusted for their dominant head-to-head record (3 wins in 3 meetings) and the fact they are playing at home.
- When is the Mauritania vs Central African Republic match?
- The match is on September 24, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is an African Cup of Nations fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds are: Mauritania win 2.30, draw 2.10, Central African Republic win 5.00. These odds imply a close contest, with the draw priced as the most likely single outcome.