Central Ballester Reserves - Estrella del Sur Reserves prediction 13 October 2026

The Central Ballester Reserves vs Estrella del Sur Reserves prediction points to a comfortable away win when these two Primera C Metropolitana Reserve sides meet on 13 October 2026 at 15:00. Based on the odds and the teams’ recent form, Estrella del Sur Reserves arrives as the clear favourite with a win probability close to 69%, while the hosts have lost five in a row.

Team Form

Central Ballester Reserves come into this match in dreadful form, with five straight defeats. Their last five results read L-L-L-L-L. The most recent outing was a 3‑1 loss at Berazategui Reserves on October 1, followed by a 1‑0 home defeat against CA Claypole Reserves. Before that, they fell 1‑0 to Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves, lost 4‑1 at home to General Lamadrid Reserves and suffered a 9‑0 thrashing at Leones de Rosario Reserves.

Estrella del Sur Reserves, on the other hand, have collected three wins in their last five (W-L-L-W-W). Their latest result was a thrilling 5‑4 home victory over Berazategui Reserves. Prior to that, they lost 3‑2 to CA Claypole Reserves and 1‑0 at home to Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves, but they then beat General Lamadrid Reserves 3‑1 and Leones de Rosario Reserves 2‑0. That mixed form still leaves them far stronger than their hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

Over the three previous meetings, the head-to-head record shows one home win and two away victories, with no draws. Estrella del Sur Reserves have the edge with two wins to Central Ballester Reserves’ one. The most recent clash, on 2 July 2026, ended 2‑0 to Estrella when they hosted Central Ballester. In August 2025, Central Ballester lost 3‑0 at home, while the first meeting in April 2025 saw Central Ballester win 3‑2 away. The overall H2H points towards an away‑side advantage.

Win Probability: Central Ballester Reserves or Estrella del Sur Reserves?

Using available odds as a base and adjusting for form and head‑to‑head, Central Ballester Reserves have about a 10% chance of winning, the draw stands at 21%, and Estrella del Sur Reserves hold a strong 69% win probability. The home team’s five consecutive defeats and the visitors’ three wins in five make Estrella the most likely winner. Bookmakers also reflect this with extremely short away odds.

Odds & Match Prediction

Looking at the 1X2 market, one bookmaker offers Central Ballester Reserves at 8.50, the draw at 3.00 and Estrella del Sur Reserves at 1.51. Another set of odds shows 9.00 for the home win, 7.00 for the draw and just 1.17 for the away team. Based on these stats, bookmakers see Estrella del Sur Reserves as an overwhelming favourite, and the prediction for this fixture is an away victory.