Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito prediction 31 October 2026
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
CerritoAtenasAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoPaysandu FCHuracan FCAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoUruguay MontevideoOriental La PazAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoColon FCRiver Plate MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoRentistasAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoMiramar MisionesTacuarembo FCAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoPlaza ColoniaAtletico Fenix MontevideoLa LuzCerritoAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtenasAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtenasCerritoRentistasMiramar MisionesCerritoCerritoTacuarembo FCPlaza ColoniaCerritoCerritoLa LuzCerritoRiver Plate MontevideoAtenasCerritoCerritoPaysandu FCHuracan FCCerritoCerritoUruguay MontevideoCerritoOriental La PazColon FCCerritoCerritoAtletico Fenix MontevideoRentistasCerritoCerritoMiramar MisionesCerritoAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoCerritoCerritoAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoCerritoCerritoAtletico Fenix MontevideoCerritoAtletico Fenix MontevideoAtletico Fenix MontevideoCerrito| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 |  Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |  Huracan FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Colรณn | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 |  CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Tacuarembo FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo Prediction (Jul 26)
The Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo prediction points towards an away win when these two sides meet on Jul 26 at 18:00 in Uruguay's Segunda Division. Based on head-to-head dominance and recent performances, Atletico Fenix Montevideo enters this match as the favorite with a 42% win probability, while Cerrito has a 30% chance and the draw is at 28%.
Team Form
Cerrito's last five matches show a mixed bag of results: D, W, D, W, L. Most recently, they played out a 0-0 away draw at Rentistas on Jul 18, following a 1-0 home victory over Miramar Misiones on Jul 12. Their home form at Estadio Parque Maracanรก has been a fortress this season, where they sit 2nd in the home standings with 4 wins from 4 played, scoring 6 and conceding just 1 goal.
Atletico Fenix Montevideo's last five outings read D, L, W, L, D. They are coming off a 0-0 home stalemate against Atenas on Jul 19 and a narrow 1-0 away defeat to Paysandu FC on Jul 13. Away from home, they are not listed in the top 8 for away standings, having secured 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss so far based on the data provided.
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H record heavily favors the visitors. Over six previous encounters, Cerrito has won just 1, while Atletico Fenix Montevideo has secured 4 victories, with 1 match ending in a draw. Here are the most recent meetings:
- Apr 12, 2026: Atletico Fenix Montevideo 4-1 Cerrito (Segunda Division)
- Sep 22, 2025: Cerrito 2-2 Atletico Fenix Montevideo (Segunda Division)
- Jun 29, 2025: Atletico Fenix Montevideo 3-2 Cerrito (Segunda Division)
- Sep 15, 2022: Cerrito 0-2 Atletico Fenix Montevideo (Primera Division)
- Oct 17, 2021: Cerrito 2-4 Atletico Fenix Montevideo (Primera Division)
The visitors have scored at least 2 goals in each of the last five H2Hs and remain unbeaten in three straight matches against Cerrito.
League Table Positions
Cerrito sits 2nd in the overall Segunda Division standings with 19 points from 11 matches (5W, 4D, 2L), scoring 15 and conceding 13. Atletico Fenix Montevideo (listed as Fenix) is 9th with 13 points from 10 games (3W, 4D, 3L), with a goal difference of 14:12.
Despite their lower position, note that Atletico Fenix Montevideo have a game in hand. Cerrito's total of 7 away points is decent, while the visitors have struggled on their travels, contributing to the current point gap.
Win Probability: Cerrito or Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
Our calculated win probability for this match: Cerrito has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Atletico Fenix Montevideo has a 42% chance of winning. The percentages are derived from H2H statistics (visitors winning 67% of past meetings), current form, and home/away performance metrics. Atletico Fenix Montevideo's superior H2H record gives them the edge, but Cerrito's perfect home record this season cannot be ignored, reducing the likelihood of a straightforward away win and boosting the probabilities of a home shock or draw.
Odds & Match Prediction
Specific odds are not available in the dataset; however, bookmakers would typically see Atletico Fenix Montevideo as the favorite based on stats. The visitors have dominated recent meetings, but Cerrito are the form home side. This clash is likely to be tighter than the H2H suggests. Our prediction: a narrow win for Atletico Fenix Montevideo or a high-scoring draw.
Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo โ FAQ
- Who will win Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
- Based on analysis of H2H and form, Atletico Fenix Montevideo is the most likely winner with a 42% chance. Cerrito has a 30% win probability, while the draw is at 28%.
- What is the win probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo has a 42% chance of winning. This is based on their strong head-to-head record where they have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, including a 4-1 victory in April 2026.
- When is the Cerrito vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo match?
- The Segunda Division match takes place on Jul 26, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific odds are not currently listed in the provided data set. Based on statistics, bookmakers would likely price Atletico Fenix Montevideo as the favorite, while an in-form Cerrito side would offer attractive value as the home underdog.
- What is Cerrito's home form compared to Atletico Fenix Montevideo away?
- Cerrito has a flawless home record this season with 4 wins from 4 matches (12 points), scoring 6 and conceding just 1. In contrast, Atletico Fenix Montevideo are winless in their last two away games and are not among the top-ranked away teams.