Cerrito - La Luz prediction 27 September 2026
Cerrito
La LuzCerrito
RentistasMiramar MisionesCerritoCerritoTacuarembo FCPlaza ColoniaCerritoCerritoLa LuzCerritoRiver Plate MontevideoAtenasCerritoCerritoPaysandu FCHuracan FCCerritoCerritoUruguay MontevideoCerritoOriental La PazColon FCCerritoCerritoAtletico Fenix MontevideoRentistasCerritoCerritoMiramar MisionesLa LuzMiramar MisionesTacuarembo FCLa LuzLa LuzPlaza ColoniaLa LuzRiver Plate MontevideoCerritoLa LuzLa LuzAtenasPaysandu FCLa LuzLa LuzHuracan FCUruguay MontevideoLa LuzLa LuzOriental La PazColon FCLa LuzAtletico Fenix MontevideoLa LuzLa LuzRentistasMiramar MisionesLa LuzMiramar MisionesLa LuzCerritoLa LuzLa LuzCerritoCerritoLa LuzCerritoLa LuzLa LuzCerrito| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 |  Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |  Huracan FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Colรณn | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 |  CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Tacuarembo FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
Cerrito vs La Luz Prediction (Sep 27)
The Cerrito vs La Luz prediction for this Segunda Division clash on Sep 27, 2026, at 20:00 points to a home advantage. Based on the latest stats, Cerrito has a 42% chance of winning, while the draw is at 33% and La Luz has a 25% win probability.
Team Form
Cerrito's Last 5 Matches
- Sep 20: Cerrito 1-1 River Plate Montevideo (D)
- Sep 13: Atenas 0-0 Cerrito (D)
- Sep 5: Cerrito 1-2 Paysandu FC (L)
- Aug 29: Huracan FC 2-1 Cerrito (L)
- Aug 22: Cerrito 3-0 Uruguay Montevideo (W)
Cerrito have scored 6 goals and conceded 5 in these five games. Their home form this season (2W 1D 0L) is a key factor, with 5 goals scored and only 2 conceded at home.
La Luz's Last 5 Matches
- Sep 19: La Luz 0-1 Atenas (L)
- Sep 12: Paysandu FC 0-1 La Luz (W)
- Sep 4: La Luz 1-3 Huracan FC (L)
- Aug 29: Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 La Luz (D)
- Aug 23: La Luz 0-2 Oriental La Paz (L)
La Luz have scored 2 goals and conceded 6 in this period. Their away record of three draws shows resilience but a lack of cutting edge in attack.
Head-to-Head Record
- Jun 21, 2026: La Luz 2-0 Cerrito
- Apr 19, 2026: Cerrito 0-0 La Luz
- Aug 16, 2025: Cerrito 1-0 La Luz
- May 24, 2025: La Luz 2-2 Cerrito
Total: Cerrito 1 win, La Luz 1 win, 2 draws. Goals: Cerrito 3, La Luz 4. The head-to-head record is evenly balanced, with the most recent meeting going to La Luz.
League Table Positions
Cerrito are 8th in the Segunda Division with 9 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). La Luz sit 9th with 7 points (1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss). Cerrito's home form is particularly strong: they are 4th in the home table with 7 points from 3 games, while La Luz are 8th in the away table, having drawn all three of their road trips.
Win Probability: Cerrito or La Luz?
Without bookmaker odds, we have estimated the probabilities using team form, head-to-head data, and league positions. Cerrito's strong home form (2W 1D) and higher ranking give them a 42% chance. The draw, at 33%, reflects La Luz's three away draws and the two draws in the last four H2H meetings. La Luz's 25% win probability comes from their recent H2H victory and Cerrito's inconsistent recent results. Overall, Cerrito are the more likely winners, but the match is expected to be close.
Odds & Match Prediction
No odds are currently listed for this Segunda Division match. Based on the analysis, the prediction is a narrow home win for Cerrito. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline is plausible. For betting tips, backing Cerrito to win could offer value, but the draw is a realistic alternative given the teams' recent form.
Cerrito vs La Luz โ FAQ
- Who will win Cerrito vs La Luz?
- Based on our analysis, Cerrito has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is 33%, and La Luz has 25%. Therefore, Cerrito is the most likely winner, but the match is expected to be tight.
- What is the win probability for Cerrito?
- Cerrito has a 42% win probability. This is due to their unbeaten home record in the league (2 wins, 1 draw) and their slightly higher position in the Segunda Division table.
- When is the Cerrito vs La Luz match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, at 20:00 local time. It is a Segunda Division fixture in Uruguay.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Currently, no bookmaker odds are available for this match. Once odds are released, they will likely favor Cerrito as the home side.
- What is the head-to-head record between Cerrito and La Luz?
- In their last four meetings, both teams have one win each, with two draws. The most recent match saw La Luz win 2-0 at home in June 2026.