Montevideo City Torque Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserve prediction 13 October 2026
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Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve prediction for Oct 13, 2026, at 18:00 in the Primera Division Reserve League, Uruguay. Who will win? The 1X2 odds, recent form, and head-to-head record point to Montevideo City Torque Reserves as the favorite. Montevideo City Torque Reserves has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Cerro Largo Reserve has a 21% chance.
Team Form
Montevideo City Torque Reserves come into the game with five listed results: D, W, W, D, W. They drew 1-1 with CA Penarol Montevideo Reservers on Oct 6, beat Racing Montevideo Reserves 4-0 on Sep 30, won 3-1 against River Plate Montevideo Reserves on Sep 28, drew 0-0 with Racing Montevideo Reserves on Sep 21, and won 2-1 against Juventud de las Piedras Reserves on Sep 14. Across those matches, Montevideo City Torque Reserves scored 10 goals and conceded 3.
Cerro Largo Reserve's five listed results are D, W, D, L, L. They drew 0-0 with CA Progreso Reserves on Oct 8, beat Deportivo Maldonado Reserves 4-0 on Oct 5, drew 0-0 with Club Oriental de La Paz Reserves on Sep 28, lost 0-2 to Nacional Montevideo Reserves on Sep 21, and lost 2-4 to Boston River Reserves on Sep 14. In that five-match sample, Cerro Largo Reserve scored 6 goals and conceded 6.
Head-to-Head Record
The supplied H2H totals are 1 home win, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. In the listed head-to-head match on Jun 9, 2026, Cerro Largo Reserve hosted Montevideo City Torque Reserves and lost 1-2. Therefore, Montevideo City Torque Reserves has one H2H win and Cerro Largo Reserve has zero H2H wins.
League Table Positions
League table positions are not included in the supplied JSON for this Primera Division Reserve League match, so no table positions, points, or gaps are used in this prediction.
Win Probability: Montevideo City Torque Reserves or Cerro Largo Reserve?
Win probability is calculated from the inverse of the prematch odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for form and H2H. The normalized odds give a base around 54% for Montevideo City Torque Reserves, 24% for the draw, and 22% for Cerro Largo Reserve. The home team's recent record and head-to-head edge support moving the home win to 55% and the away win to 21%. The final outcome probabilities are:
- Montevideo City Torque Reserves win: 55%
- Draw: 24%
- Cerro Largo Reserve win: 21%
Montevideo City Torque Reserves is therefore the more likely winner. Cerro Largo Reserve's away form has been weaker, with two losses in their last three listed matches and 6 goals conceded in those two defeats.
Odds & Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve Prediction
The selected prematch 1X2 market has two sets of odds. One set lists Montevideo City Torque Reserves at 1.70, the draw at 3.75, and Cerro Largo Reserve at 3.75. The other set lists Montevideo City Torque Reserves at 1.62, the draw at 3.80, and Cerro Largo Reserve at 4.20. This means bookmakers see Montevideo City Torque Reserves as the favorite. The final Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve prediction is a home win. For betting tips, the 1X2 market supports Montevideo City Torque Reserves, but the short home price may limit the value.
Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve โ FAQ
- Who will win Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve?
- Montevideo City Torque Reserves is the predicted winner with a 55% chance. Cerro Largo Reserve has a 21% chance and the draw is at 24%, based on the 1X2 odds, recent form, and the head-to-head result.
- What is the win probability for Montevideo City Torque Reserves?
- Montevideo City Torque Reserves has a 55% win probability. This is supported by the home odds of 1.62โ1.70, a last-five form of D-W-W-D-W, and a 2-1 H2H win over Cerro Largo Reserve.
- When is the Montevideo City Torque Reserves vs Cerro Largo Reserve match?
- The match is on Oct 13, 2026, at 18:00 in the Primera Division Reserve League, Uruguay.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The selected prematch 1X2 odds are Montevideo City Torque Reserves at 1.62โ1.70, the draw at 3.75โ3.80, and Cerro Largo Reserve at 3.75โ4.20. The second odds set makes Cerro Largo Reserve a slightly bigger outsider at 4.20.
- What is the head-to-head record between these teams?
- In the only listed head-to-head match, Cerro Largo Reserve lost 1-2 at home to Montevideo City Torque Reserves on Jun 9, 2026. That gives Montevideo City Torque Reserves 1 win and Cerro Largo Reserve 0 wins in the H2H.