Cerro Porteno - 2 de Mayo prediction 5 October 2026

The Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo prediction points towards a home victory in this Primera Division clash on Oct 5, 2026, at 23:15. Based on our win probability analysis, Cerro Porteno has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and 2 de Mayo has a 16% chance.

Team Form

Cerro Porteno come into this match with a strong recent record of three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 2-1 away defeat to Sportivo Trinidense on Sep 26. Before that, they secured a 1-0 home win against Rubio Nu on Sep 19, a 1-1 draw away to Guarani Asuncion on Sep 12, a 1-0 home win over Nacional Asuncion on Sep 7, and a 3-1 away win at Deportivo Recoleta on Sep 3.

2 de Mayo's form is less convincing, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. They drew 2-2 away to Rubio Nu on Sep 26, lost 3-0 away to Nacional Asuncion on Sep 18, lost 2-0 at home to Club Libertad Asuncion on Sep 11, won 2-1 away at Sportivo San Lorenzo on Sep 5, and drew 2-2 at home with Sportivo Luqueno on Sep 1.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno have won twice, 2 de Mayo have won once, and there have been five draws overall. The most recent encounter saw 2 de Mayo win 2-1 at home on Jul 28, 2026. Earlier in the year, Cerro Porteno won 3-0 at home on Apr 5, 2026. The three prior matches, dating back to 2025, all ended in draws, including two 0-0 scorelines.

League Table Positions

Cerro Porteno sit 3rd in the Primera Division overall table with 35 points from 21 matches, having won 10, drawn 5, and lost 6. They have scored 28 goals and conceded 22. At home, they are 6th with 18 points from 10 games, a solid record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 losses. 2 de Mayo are 10th overall with 22 points from 22 games, winning 5, drawing 7, and losing 10. Their away form places them 5th in the away table with 12 points from 11 matches, but they have conceded 23 goals on the road.

Win Probability: Cerro Porteno or 2 de Mayo?

Cerro Porteno has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and 2 de Mayo has a 16% chance. This calculation is based on the available bookmaker odds, which heavily favor the home side, and adjusted for Cerro Porteno's superior league position, better recent form, and home advantage. Despite 2 de Mayo winning the most recent H2H, Cerro Porteno's overall consistency and strong home defensive record (only 6 goals conceded in 10 home games) make them the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Cerro Porteno as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win are around 1.59, while a draw can be backed at up to 3.94, and an away win for 2 de Mayo is priced as high as 6.88. Based on the stats, form, and head-to-head record, the prediction is a home win for Cerro Porteno. The odds suggest a low-scoring affair, and with Cerro Porteno's tight defense at home, a victory to nil is a likely outcome.