Chainat FC - Songkhla United prediction 11 October 2026

Our Chainat FC vs Songkhla United prediction for the Division 2 clash on Oct 11, 2026 at 12:30 is a closely contested affair with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on our analysis of form, standings and head-to-head record, Chainat FC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Songkhla United has a 25% chance.

Team Form

Chainat FC come into this match with a mixed set of recent results: W, D, L, W, L in their last five outings. In competitive Division 2 matches, they recorded a 2-1 away win at Nakhon Ratchasima FC, a 0-0 home draw with Pattaya Dolphins United, a 0-3 away loss at Muang Loei United and a 3-1 home victory against Phrae United. A 0-2 friendly defeat to Uthani Thani FC rounds out the sequence, though that result carries less weight. At home this season, Chainat FC remain unbeaten with one win and one draw, scoring three goals and conceding just one.

Songkhla United’s last five results read D, W, L, D, L. Their most competitive matches show a 1-1 home draw with Muang Loei United, a convincing 3-0 away win against BEC Police Tero Sasana, a 1-3 home loss to Satun United, and a 1-1 away draw at Mahasarakham United. An earlier 1-5 away defeat at Sisaket United FC in April is from the previous campaign. The away record this term is strong: two matches, one win, one draw, four goals scored and only one conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The two teams have met only twice in the available data, with the home side winning on each occasion. Chainat FC triumphed 4-3 at home on Dec 10, 2025, while Songkhla United won 2-0 at home on Mar 7, 2026. Home advantage has clearly been decisive in this matchup, which bodes well for Chainat FC ahead of this encounter.

League Table Positions

Chainat FC currently sit 5th in the Division 2 overall standings with 7 points from four matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, goals 5:5). Songkhla United are 11th with 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, goals 6:5). Home and away splits highlight the strengths: Chainat FC have collected 4 points from two home games (1 win, 1 draw) while Songkhla United have taken 4 points from two away matches (1 win, 1 draw), conceding only once on their travels.

Win Probability: Chainat FC vs Songkhla United

After weighing all available data – team form, head-to-head record, league positions and home/away factor – the match outcome probabilities are as follows: Chainat FC win 45%, draw 30%, Songkhla United win 25%. Chainat’s home advantage and the H2H pattern of home wins give them the edge, but Songkhla’s solid away defensive record and recent 3-0 away win suggest they will be competitive. The draw probability is elevated because both sides have shown an ability to keep games tight in their respective home/away contexts.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were available for this fixture in the current dataset. Based purely on the statistical profile, our Chainat FC vs Songkhla United prediction leans towards a narrow home victory, but a low-scoring draw is a very realistic alternative. With both teams averaging close to a goal per game in their recent domestic matches, a tight encounter is expected. Chainat FC are the more likely winner according to our win probability model, but bettors should approach with caution given the visitors’ stubborn away form.