The Changchun Dazhong Zhiye Women vs Shaanxi Chang An Athletic FC Women prediction points to a home favorite in this China Super League Women clash on October 11, at 08:00. Based on odds, head-to-head record and team form, Changchun Dazhong Zhiye Women hold a 55% win probability, with the draw at 25% and Shaanxi Chang An Athletic FC Women at 20%.
Changchun Dazhong Zhiye Women are struggling for results. Their last five matches in the league show a worrying L, L, D, L, D sequence โ three defeats and two draws, without a win. They lost 1-2 at home to Sichuan Jiannanchun Women, fell 0-1 away at Zhejiang Women, drew 1-1 with Guangdong Sports Lottery Yuezhan Women, lost 0-1 at Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng Women, and played out another 1-1 home draw with SDJH Shandong Sports Lottery Women. Just one goal scored in three of those five games highlights their attacking issues.
Shaanxi Chang An Athletic FC Women arrive with a marginally better recent run: D, W, L, D, L. They drew 1-1 at home with Zhejiang Women, won 2-0 at Guangxi Pingguo Beinong Women, lost 1-2 at Beijing Beikong Women, drew 0-0 at home with Sichuan Jiannanchun Women, and lost 0-1 at home to Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng Women. While they managed one win, inconsistency remains โ only two goals in their last three outings.
The historical edge is heavily one-sided. Across five previous meetings in the China Super League Women, Changchun Dazhong Zhiye Women have won 4 and drawn 1, while Shaanxi Chang An Athletic FC Women have never won. The goal tally is 12โ3 in favour of the home side. The last encounter on June 14, 2026, ended in a 2โ1 home victory for Changchun. Earlier results include a 1โ1 draw in 2025 and two dominating 4โ0 and 4โ1 away wins for Changchun in 2023 and 2022. This total dominance forms a key pillar of the prediction.
The win probability calculation starts from bookmaker odds (home 1.91, draw 3.10, away 3.75). Removing the margin, the implied chances are approximately 47% home win, 29% draw, and 24% away win. We then adjust for the overwhelming head-to-head advantage (4โ1โ0) and the home field factor, which lift Changchunโs probability. Even though both teams are out of form, the H2H pattern is so strong that Changchun Dazhong Zhiye Women hold a 55% chance of winning, the draw sits at 25%, and Shaanxi Chang An Athletic FC Women have a 20% chance. The most likely match outcome based on all data is a home victory, possibly by a narrow margin given the hostsโ recent scoring struggles.
Bookmakers see Changchun Dazhong Zhiye Women as the clear favourite with odds of 1.91 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.10 and an away win at 3.75. These lines reflect the sideโs historical supremacy but also factor in their current poor run. The best betting tip based on the stats leans towards a home win, but with both teams finding goals hard to come by, a low-scoring affair is likely.