Guangdong Mingtu - Changchun Xidu prediction 25 October 2026

Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu prediction for the China. League Two match on Sep 18, 2026, at 08:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Changchun Xidu is the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Guangdong Mingtu has a 28% chance, and the draw stands at 32%.

Team Form

Changchun Xidu's last five matches (most recent first):

• Sep 12: Hubei Istar Chufeng Heli 1-2 Changchun Xidu (W)
• Aug 22: Changchun Xidu 2-1 Kewei, Dalian (W)
• Aug 15: Beijing Ligong Institute Technology 2-2 Changchun Xidu (D)
• Aug 09: Changchun Xidu 1-2 Xian Chongde Ronghai (L)
• Aug 05: Changchun Xidu 0-1 Dalian Yingbo FC U21 (L)

They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 in this period, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Notably, their last two home matches ended in defeat (1-2 vs Xian Chongde Ronghai, 0-1 vs Dalian Yingbo FC U21), but they did beat Kewei, Dalian 2-1 at home in late August.

Guangdong Mingtu's last five matches:

• Sep 12: Guangdong Mingtu 1-0 Shanghai Segenda (W)
• Aug 23: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1-0 Guangdong Mingtu (L)
• Aug 16: Guangdong Mingtu 3-0 Wuhan Three Towns II (W)
• Aug 09: Guangdong Mingtu 0-0 Wenzhou FC (D)
• Aug 01: Hubei Istar Chufeng Heli 0-0 Guangdong Mingtu (D)

They have scored 4 goals and conceded only 1, keeping four clean sheets. Their only goal conceded in this run came in a 0-1 away loss to Hangzhou Linping Wuyue, highlighting their defensive organization.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Changchun Xidu and Guangdong Mingtu. This will be their first competitive encounter.

Win Probability: Changchun Xidu or Guangdong Mingtu?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and home advantage, we calculate the following probabilities: Changchun Xidu win – 40%, draw – 32%, Guangdong Mingtu win – 28%. The bookmakers' odds of 2.43, 2.72, 3.00 imply a 37% home win chance after removing the margin. We adjust slightly upward for Changchun Xidu due to home field, but Guangdong Mingtu's impressive defense (only 1 goal conceded in 5 games) keeps the draw and away win probabilities competitive. Overall, the home side has a moderate edge.

Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Changchun Xidu at 2.43, draw at 2.72, and Guangdong Mingtu at 3.00. Multiple bookies show similar lines, confirming the home favorite status. Our prediction: based on the stats, Changchun Xidu is the more probable winner, but the draw cannot be ruled out. A 1-0 or 2-1 home victory is a plausible outcome, while a goalless draw is also possible given Guangdong Mingtu's defensive record. For betting tips, the home win at 2.43 could be a solid pick, while the draw at 2.72 is an attractive option for those expecting a tight contest. The match will be played at Yatai Training Base Stadium (capacity 5,000) in Changchun, which may provide a slight boost for the hosts.