Changchun Xidu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha prediction 6 October 2026

The Changchun Xidu vs Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha prediction for October 6, 2026, points to a tight China League Two contest at Yatai Training Base Stadium. Based on form and odds, Changchun Xidu holds a 35% win probability, while a draw is the most likely single outcome at 38%, leaving Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha with a 27% chance.

Team Form

Changchun Xidu come into this match with a mixed but slightly positive run: D, W, W, D, L in their last five outings. They drew 0-0 at home against Guangdong Mingtu on Sep 18, won 2-1 away at Hubei Istar Chufeng Heli on Sep 12, beat Kewei, Dalian 2-1 at home on Aug 22, drew 2-2 at Beijing Ligong Institute Technology on Aug 15, and lost 1-2 at home to Xian Chongde Ronghai on Aug 9. That’s two wins, two draws, one defeat — a solid 8-point haul from 15 available.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha’s recent form reads L, L, D, W, D. They lost 0-1 away to Dalian Yingbo FC U21 on Sep 19, fell 1-2 at home to Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic on Sep 13, drew 0-0 at home with Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic on Aug 23, won 3-1 away at Ganzhou Ruishi FC on Aug 16, and drew 0-0 away at Xiamen Feilu on Aug 8. With only one win in five, they’ve collected just 5 points and are struggling for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Changchun Xidu and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha. This will be their first-ever meeting, so no historical data can influence the prediction.

Win Probability: Changchun Xidu or Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

We calculated the win probability using the available odds, recent form, and home advantage. The raw odds implied a draw-heavy market, but Changchun Xidu’s stronger form and home pitch tilt the numbers slightly. The final probabilities are:

• Changchun Xidu win: 35%
• Draw: 38%
• Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha win: 27%

Changchun Xidu is the more likely winner of the two sides, but the draw remains the single most probable outcome. Home advantage at Yatai Training Base Stadium and a better points return in recent matches give them the edge over Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this China League Two fixture vary. The home win is priced between 2.50 and 2.75, the draw between 1.85 and 2.80, and the away win between 2.75 and 3.40. The tight draw odds across most books confirm that the market expects a close, low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, a draw is the most probable result, but Changchun Xidu has a better chance of taking all three points than Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha. Our betting tip: the draw looks value, but cautious punters may lean towards Changchun Xidu on the double chance.