Dalian K'un City - Changchun Yatai prediction 10 October 2026

Our Dalian K'un City vs Changchun Yatai prediction for the China League One match on October 10, 2026, gives the home side a 45% chance of winning. The game kicks off at 12:00 local time, and based on the stats, Dalian K'un City are slight favourites thanks to their strong home form, while Changchun Yatai have struggled on the road this season. A draw is rated at 30%, and an away win at 25%.

Team Form

Dalian K'un City come into this match with a mixed run of results: L, W, D, D, W in their last five outings. Their most recent fixture was a 3-0 away defeat at Shaanxi Union on September 27. Before that, they beat Ningbo Professional FC Huilong 1-0 at home, drew 1-1 at Guandong GZ Power FC, drew 0-0 at Foshan Nanshi, and won 3-2 at home against Nantong Zhiyun. Two wins, two draws and one loss from those five games show they are hard to beat, especially at home.

Changchun Yatai's last five results read L, D, W, W, L. They lost 2-0 away to Nantong Zhiyun on September 26, drew 1-1 at Shenzhen Juniors FC, then recorded back-to-back home wins: 1-0 against Heilongjiang Ice City FC and 2-0 against Ningbo Professional FC Huilong. Their previous away match ended in a 3-0 defeat at Guandong GZ Power FC. That away form – two losses and a draw in the last three road trips – is a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice before. Changchun Yatai won the most recent encounter 2-1 at home on June 13, 2026, in China League One. The other meeting, in the China FA Cup on May 21, 2025, finished 1-1 at Dalian K'un City's ground. So the head-to-head record stands at one win for Changchun Yatai, one draw, and no wins for Dalian K'un City. The historical edge is with the away side, but the sample is small.

League Table Positions

In the overall China League One standings, Changchun Yatai sit 7th with 33 points (10 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses), while Dalian K'un City are 11th with 29 points (7 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses). However, the home and away splits tell a different story. Dalian K'un City are 7th in the home table, having collected 21 points from 12 matches at their own stadium (5 wins, 6 draws, only 1 loss). Changchun Yatai, on the other hand, have managed just 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats in 12 away games – a record that leaves them well outside the top eight in the away standings. That stark contrast in home/away performance is the key factor for this prediction.

Win Probability: Dalian K'un City or Changchun Yatai?

After analysing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Dalian K'un City win – 45%, Draw – 30%, Changchun Yatai win – 25%. The reasoning is straightforward. Dalian K'un City have lost only once at home all season, while Changchun Yatai have lost seven of their 12 away matches. Although Changchun Yatai hold a slight head-to-head advantage and are higher in the overall table, the home/away factor is overwhelming. Dalian K'un City's ability to grind out draws at home (50% of their home games have ended level) also raises the draw probability. Based on the stats, Dalian K'un City are the more likely winners, but a stalemate is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. Once the 1X2 market opens, we will update this section with the latest betting tips. Our match prediction, based purely on the form, head-to-head record and league positions, is a home win for Dalian K'un City. However, given their high number of home draws, backing the double chance (home win or draw) could be a sensible approach for bettors. Changchun Yatai's poor away form makes an away win the least likely result.