Shenzhen Juniors FC - Changchun Yatai prediction 19 September 2026

The Shenzhen Juniors FC vs Changchun Yatai prediction for this China. League One match on Sep 19, 2026, at 11:00 points to a comfortable home win. Based on our analysis, Shenzhen Juniors FC has a 60% chance of winning, while Changchun Yatai has only a 15% probability of causing an upset.

Team Form

Shenzhen Juniors FC are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws. They drew 0-0 away at Shijiazhuang Gongfu on Sep 13, thrashed Meizhou Hakka 5-1 at home on Sep 06, won 2-1 at Foshan Nanshi on Aug 29, beat Nanjing Fengfan 3-1 at home on Aug 23, and drew 0-0 at home with Ningbo Professional FC Huilong on Aug 16. That run includes 10 goals scored and only 3 conceded.

Changchun Yatai have been inconsistent with two wins, two losses, and a win in their last five. They beat Heilongjiang Ice City FC 1-0 at home on Sep 12, defeated Ningbo Professional FC Huilong 2-0 at home on Sep 05, lost 0-3 away at Guandong GZ Power FC on Aug 30, crushed Foshan Nanshi 6-0 at home on Aug 23, and lost 1-2 away at Shaanxi Union on Aug 14. Notably, both defeats came on the road, highlighting their travel struggles.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting this season took place on May 24, 2026, when Changchun Yatai hosted Shenzhen Juniors FC. The visitors produced a stunning 4-0 victory. That result gives Shenzhen Juniors FC a clear psychological edge and a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head record.

League Table Positions

Shenzhen Juniors FC sit 2nd in the China. League One table with 43 points from 23 matches (12 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses). Changchun Yatai are 8th with 32 points from 22 matches (10 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses). The 11-point gap reflects the difference in consistency. At home, Shenzhen Juniors FC have collected 22 points from 11 games (6 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), while Changchun Yatai’s away form is poor – they are not even in the top 8 of the away standings.

Win Probability: Shenzhen Juniors FC or Changchun Yatai?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Shenzhen Juniors FC 60%, draw 25%, Changchun Yatai 15%. The base odds-implied chance for a home win was around 49%, but we have adjusted it upward due to Shenzhen Juniors FC’s dominant form, the 4-0 head-to-head win, and Changchun Yatai’s dreadful away record. The draw probability is moderate, while an away win looks highly unlikely. Shenzhen Juniors FC are the clear favorites to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Shenzhen Juniors FC as the strong favorite, with best home win odds ranging from 1.62 to 1.82. The draw is offered between 2.30 and 3.78, and an away win for Changchun Yatai pays from 3.60 to 4.57. Based on the stats, form, and home advantage, our Shenzhen Juniors FC vs Changchun Yatai prediction is a home win.