Changwon City - Pocheon prediction 10 October 2026
Changwon City
PocheonChangwon CityPocheonChangwon City
YangpyeongGyeongju KHNPChangwon CitySiheung CitizenChangwon CityChangwon CityDaejeon KorailBusan Transportation CorporationChangwon CityChangwon CityJeonbuk Hyundai Motors ReservesChangwon CityChuncheonChangwon CityYeoju Citizen FCChangwon CityMokpo CityDangjin CitizenChangwon CityGangneung CityChangwon CityPocheonChangwon CityPocheonChangwon CityChangwon CityUlsan CitizenChangwon CityPocheonPocheonChuncheonPocheonBusan Transportation CorporationYangpyeongPocheonPocheonYeoju Citizen FCSiheung CitizenPocheonPocheonMokpo CityGeoje CitizenPocheonPocheonDaejeon KorailDangjin CitizenPocheonGyeongju KHNPPocheonPocheonGangneung CityGyeongju KHNPPocheonPocheonBusan Transportation CorporationUlsan CitizenPocheonChangwon CityPocheonPocheonChangwon CityPocheonChangwon CityPocheonChangwon CityChangwon CityPocheonPocheonChangwon City| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37:20 | +17 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38:19 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |  Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33:18 | +15 | 41 |
| 4 |  Busan Transportation Corporation | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40:29 | +11 | 37 |
| 5 |  Gyeongju KHNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35:31 | +4 | 35 |
| 6 |  Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46:39 | +7 | 31 |
| 7 |  Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | +4 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon City | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 |  Ulsan Citizen | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 |  Yeoju Sejong | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 |  Gangneung City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 |  Mokpo City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 13 |  Yangpyeong | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 28:45 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Reserves | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23:51 | -28 | 10 |
Changwon City vs Pocheon Prediction (Oct 10)
The Changwon City vs Pocheon prediction for October 10, 2026, points to a tight K-League 3 contest with Pocheon holding a slight edge. Based on recent form and head-to-head history, Pocheon has a 35% chance to win, the draw is at 35%, and Changwon City sits at 30%. Kick-off is at 06:00 at Changwon City's home ground.
Team Form
Changwon City come into this match with just one win from their last five outings (W, L, L, L, L). That lone victory was a 2-1 home success against Yangpyeong on October 3. Before that, they suffered four straight defeats, conceding 10 goals in the process. The defence has been a clear weak point.
Pocheon have been slightly more consistent, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (D, L, W, W, L). They drew 0-0 at home to Chuncheon on October 3, lost 0-1 to Busan Transportation Corporation on September 19, then beat Yangpyeong 2-0 away and Yeoju Citizen FC 1-0 at home, before a 2-3 away loss to Siheung Citizen. Their away form is mixed but includes a clean-sheet win.
Head-to-Head Record
In five previous meetings, Changwon City have never beaten Pocheon. The head-to-head record shows 0 wins for Changwon City, 3 draws, and 2 wins for Pocheon. The most recent clash was on March 29, 2025, when Pocheon won 1-0 at home. Changwon City's last home fixture against Pocheon ended in a 1-2 defeat on July 20, 2025. Three of the five encounters have finished level, highlighting how closely matched these sides often are.
Win Probability: Changwon City or Pocheon?
After analysing all available data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Changwon City win โ 30%, draw โ 35%, Pocheon win โ 35%. The reasoning is based on Changwon City's poor recent form (one win in five), their historical inability to beat Pocheon (0 wins in 5 H2Hs), and Pocheon's slightly better results. Home advantage gives Changwon City a lift, but not enough to make them favourites. The high draw probability reflects the three stalemates in the head-to-head series and both teams' inconsistency.
Odds & Match Prediction
Specific bookmaker odds are not available in the data provided for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Pocheon appear the more likely winner, though a draw is an equally probable outcome. Changwon City will need a significant improvement to overturn their poor H2H record. Our match prediction is a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win, with under 2.5 total goals a realistic expectation given the history of tight contests between these sides.
Changwon City vs Pocheon โ FAQ
- Who will win Changwon City vs Pocheon?
- Based on the analysis, Pocheon have a 35% chance of winning, the draw is also at 35%, and Changwon City have a 30% chance. Pocheon are slight favourites due to a better head-to-head record and slightly stronger recent form.
- What is the win probability for Pocheon?
- Pocheon's win probability is 35%. This is based on their two wins in the last five head-to-head meetings, Changwon City's poor form with four losses in five, and Pocheon's mixed but slightly superior recent results.
- When is the Changwon City vs Pocheon match?
- The match is scheduled for October 10, 2026, with kick-off at 06:00 local time. It is a K-League 3 fixture taking place at Changwon City's home stadium in Korea Republic.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The provided data does not include specific odds for this match. For the latest odds, check with bookmakers closer to kick-off. Historically, these teams have been evenly matched, so odds are likely to reflect a close contest.
- What is the head-to-head record between Changwon City and Pocheon?
- In five previous meetings, Changwon City have 0 wins, Pocheon have 2 wins, and 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent game was a 1-0 home win for Pocheon on March 29, 2025.