| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37:20 | +17 | 55 | |
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38:19 | +19 | 46 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33:18 | +15 | 41 | |
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40:29 | +11 | 37 | |
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35:31 | +4 | 35 | |
| 6 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46:39 | +7 | 31 | |
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | +4 | 30 | |
| 8 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 | |
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 | |
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 | |
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 27 | |
| 12 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 | |
| 13 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 28:45 | -17 | 17 | |
| 14 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23:51 | -28 | 10 |
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City prediction for the K-League 3 match on September 13, 2026. Siheung Citizen are the clear favorites with a 65% win probability, while Changwon City have just a 10% chance of an upset. This analysis covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and win probabilities.
Siheung Citizen's last five matches: W, W, W, L, L. They started with three consecutive wins: a 3-1 away victory over Yangpyeong, a 3-2 home win against Pocheon, and a 2-0 home success versus Daejeon Korail. However, they then lost 0-1 away to Gyeongju KHNP and 0-2 at home to Busan Transportation Corporation. Despite the recent dip, they have scored 8 goals in these five games and remain a potent attacking side.
Changwon City are winless in their last five outings: L, L, D, D, D. They suffered a 0-1 home loss to Daejeon Korail and a 3-4 away defeat at Busan Transportation Corporation. Three consecutive draws followed: 1-1 against Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Reserves, 1-1 versus Chuncheon, and 2-2 with Yeoju Citizen FC. The team has scored 7 goals but conceded 9 in this period, highlighting defensive frailties.
In the last three meetings, Siheung Citizen hold a clear edge with 2 wins and 1 draw. Changwon City have never beaten Siheung Citizen in this period. The most recent clash on May 2, 2026 ended 1-1. Before that, Siheung Citizen won 2-0 at home in July 2025 and 2-1 away in March 2025. The head-to-head record strongly favors the home side.
Siheung Citizen sit top of the K-League 3 with 49 points from 21 matches (15 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 32 goals and conceded only 18. Changwon City are 9th with 26 points from 20 games (6 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses) and a balanced 22-22 goal difference. At home, Siheung Citizen are also 1st with 24 points from 11 fixtures (7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Changwon City's away record is weaker; they have collected 11 points from 9 away matches.
Based on all available data, the calculated win probabilities are: Siheung Citizen win 65%, draw 25%, Changwon City win 10%. Siheung Citizen's top league position, strong home record (7W 3D 1L), and dominant head-to-head (2W 1D 0L) heavily favor them. Changwon City's poor recent form (no wins in five) and lower table standing make an away victory unlikely. The home side's defensive solidity (only 18 goals conceded all season) and Changwon's struggle to win on the road further support the high probability of a Siheung win.
Specific match odds are not currently available. However, based on the statistics, bookmakers would likely price Siheung Citizen as strong favorites. Our prediction: Siheung Citizen to win. Given Changwon City's defensive vulnerabilities and Siheung's attacking quality at home, a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline is plausible.