Charleston Battery - Indy Eleven prediction 24 October 2026

The Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven prediction points towards a home victory when these two sides meet on Oct 24 at 23:00 in the USL Championship. Based on the data, Charleston Battery has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Indy Eleven sits at 17%. Bookmakers agree, making the Battery the clear favorite.

Team Form

Charleston Battery enters this match with solid recent form (W, D, L, W, W). They are coming off a 2-1 away win against Miami FC on Oct 18 and a 1-1 draw at Hartford Athletic. At home, they beat Rhode Island FC 2-0 and Monterey Bay 1-0, although they did fall 0-2 to Louisville on Oct 10. Their attack has been consistent at home.

Indy Eleven is struggling mightily, with form reading L, L, D, L, L. They suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat at Louisville and a 1-3 home loss to Tampa Bay Rowdies. Even a 1-1 draw at Loudoun United could not stop the slide, as they lost 0-1 at Rhode Island FC and 0-2 at home to Miami FC. Confidence appears low.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent H2H record favors the home side. Charleston Battery leads with 2 wins to Indy Eleven's 1, with no draws. Indy won the most recent clash 2-0 at home on July 4, 2026. However, Charleston won the two previous meetings: 2-1 at home on September 7, 2025, and a 3-1 away win on April 20, 2025. The history suggests the home team often has the edge.

League Table Positions

Charleston Battery sits 3rd in the overall USL Championship standings with 50 points from 29 matches (15 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 55 goals and conceded 35. At home, they are even stronger, ranked 2nd with 32 points from 14 games (10 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) and a dominant 36:11 goal difference.

Indy Eleven is much lower in the table. Their overall rank is not listed in the top 12, but their home record places them 8th with 27 points from 15 games. Their away form is not among the top 8, indicating significant struggles on the road compared to Charleston's fortress at home.

Win Probability: Charleston Battery or Indy Eleven?

Analyzing all available factors, the win probabilities are: Charleston Battery 60%, Draw 23%, Indy Eleven 17%. This calculation starts with the best available bookmaker odds (1.52 for a home win, 4.65 for an away win), which is then adjusted for Charleston’s superior league position, elite home record (10-2-2), Indy’s terrible away form and five-match winless streak, and the historical head-to-head advantage at home. Charleston Battery is clearly the more likely winner, but soccer always has its uncertainties.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers heavily favor Charleston Battery. The best home win odds are 1.52, a draw is priced at 2.42, and an Indy Eleven victory is a long 4.65. These odds reflect the huge gap in form and quality. Our prediction? Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. Charleston’s firepower at home (2.57 goals per game) should be too much for an Indy Eleven side that has conceded at least once in each of their last five matches.