Aveley - Chatham Town prediction 17 October 2026
Aveley
Chatham TownAveley
Carshalton AthleticAveleyMaldon & TiptreeAveleyChatham TownBurgess Hill TownAveleyCheshuntAveleyDulwich HamletAveleyAveleyWareAveleyWingate & FinchleyAveleyLeatherheadAveleyCheshuntStanway RoversAveleyAveleyLewesThree BridgesAveleyAveleyWhitehawkMaldon & TiptreeAveleyChatham TownWelling UnitedDulwich HamletChatham TownAveleyChatham TownChatham TownBrentwood TownChatham TownLeatherheadDorking WanderersChatham TownEastbourne BoroughChatham TownChatham TownLewesDartfordChatham TownChatham TownWingate & FinchleyWhitehawkChatham TownChatham TownThree BridgesChatham TownDulwich HamletSt AlbansChatham TownChatham TownMaidstone UnitedAveleyChatham TownChatham TownAveleyAveleyChatham Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33:16 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Welling United | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 |  Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | +6 | 26 |
| 4 | Chatham Town | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 29:16 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Dartford | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 |  Ramsgate | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Eastbourne Borough | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | +10 | 22 |
| 8 |  Carshalton Athletic | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 |  Burgess Hill Town | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:17 | +6 | 20 |
| 10 |  Wingate & Finchley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24:23 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 |  St Albans | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | +5 | 17 |
| 13 |  Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 |  Whyteleafe | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cheshunt | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:36 | -17 | 14 |
| 18 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 12 |
| 19 |  Brentwood Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 23:36 | -13 | 9 |
| 21 |  Stanway Rovers | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 22 |  Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12:32 | -20 | 6 |
Aveley vs Chatham Town Prediction (Oct 17)
The Aveley vs Chatham Town prediction for October 17, 2026, in the Isthmian League Premier Division points to a tight contest. Aveley enter as slight favorites with a 38% win probability, while Chatham Town hold a 32% chance and a draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
Aveley's recent form is poor: a draw at Burgess Hill Town, then three away losses to Cheshunt, Dulwich Hamlet and (FA Trophy) a home win over Ware before a home league defeat to Wingate & Finchley. Their last five results read D, L, L, W, L.
Chatham Town have been more consistent, posting W, W, L, L, W. They beat Brentwood Town and Leatherhead at home, lost away in the FA Cup to Dorking Wanderers, lost at Eastbourne Borough in the league, and edged Lewes at home.
Head-to-Head Record
The two sides have met twice in this competition with one win each. The home team lost both matches: Aveley won 1-0 at Chatham Town in April 2026, and Chatham Town triumphed 2-0 at Aveley in August 2025. The away side has had the edge in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Chatham Town sit 8th in the Isthmian League Premier Division with 18 points from 10 games, while Aveley are outside the top 12. The standings gap suggests a quality advantage for the visitors, though they have struggled on the road.
Win Probability: Aveley or Chatham Town?
Aveley has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Chatham Town has a 32% chance. The calculation starts from the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (home 2.59, draw 2.94, away 2.76), then adjusts for form, head-to-head, and home/away records. Aveley's home advantage and Chatham Town's poor away form (two straight away league losses) lift the home probability slightly, while the H2H away-win pattern and Chatham's stronger overall standing keep it close.
Odds & Match Prediction
Available odds range from 2.30 to 2.88 for a home win, 2.38 to 3.50 for the draw, and 2.52 to 3.00 for an away win. Bookmakers see this as a very open match. Our prediction, based on the stats, is a narrow Aveley victory, but a draw is a real possibility given the probabilities.
Aveley vs Chatham Town โ FAQ
- Who will win Aveley vs Chatham Town?
- Our analysis gives Aveley a 38% chance of winning, Chatham Town a 32% chance, and the draw a 30% probability. Aveley are the slight favorites, but the match could go either way.
- What is the win probability for Aveley?
- Aveley are given a 38% chance to win. This is derived from the odds and adjusted for form, head-to-head (where the away team won both meetings), and league positions, with home advantage tipping the scales in their favor.
- When is the Aveley vs Chatham Town match?
- The match takes place on October 17, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Isthmian League Premier Division fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds from the JSON data show two bookmaker sets: one lists home win 2.88, draw 2.38, away win 3.00; another offers home 2.30, draw 3.50, away 2.52. The market sees little separating the teams.