Chatham Town - Leatherhead prediction 6 October 2026

The Chatham Town vs Leatherhead prediction for the Isthmian League Premier Division match on Oct 6, 2026, at 19:45 points to a closely contested affair. Based on the stats, Leatherhead holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while Chatham Town has a 30% chance and the draw is at 35%.

Team Form

Chatham Town's recent form has been poor, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). Their only win came at home against Lewes (3-2) on Sep 12. Defeats include a 0-1 loss to Dorking Wanderers in the FA Cup, a 1-2 loss at Eastbourne Borough, a 0-1 loss at Dartford, and a 2-3 home loss to Wingate & Finchley. They have struggled defensively, conceding in all five games.

Leatherhead's form is more consistent: W, D, D, W, L. They beat Hanworth Villa 1-0 in the FA Cup and won 2-1 at Aveley. Two draws came against Three Bridges (3-3 away) and Whyteleafe (0-0 home). The only recent loss was a 2-3 home defeat to Dulwich Hamlet. Leatherhead has scored in four of those five matches and remains unbeaten away in the league this season.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Chatham Town and Leatherhead in the available data. This will be the first head-to-head clash, so no historical trend can be used for this prediction.

League Table Positions

Leatherhead sits 7th in the Isthmian League Premier Division with 15 points from 9 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their away record is particularly strong: 3rd in the away table with 3 wins and 2 draws, remaining unbeaten on the road. Chatham Town is not in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating a lower league position, and they are also absent from the top 8 home table, suggesting a weak home record.

Win Probability: Chatham Town or Leatherhead?

After calculating implied probabilities from the average bookmaker odds (home 2.28, draw 2.65, away 3.34) and adjusting for recent form and league positions, the win probabilities are: Chatham Town 30%, Draw 35%, Leatherhead 35%. The adjustment reflects Leatherhead's superior away form and Chatham Town's poor recent results. Despite home advantage, Chatham Town's low standing and defensive issues reduce their chances, while Leatherhead's unbeaten away league record boosts their probability. The draw is a strong possibility given both teams' tendency for tight matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match vary: home win odds range from 1.92 to 2.50, draw odds from 2.30 to 3.50, and away win odds from 3.15 to 3.40. On average, Chatham Town is priced as the favorite, but our analysis suggests the value lies with Leatherhead or the draw. Based on the stats, Leatherhead is the more likely winner, but a draw is almost equally probable. The final prediction: Leatherhead to win or draw, with a 35% chance of an away victory.