Chelsea - Hull City prediction 12 September 2026

The Chelsea vs Hull City prediction for the Premier League match on Sep 12, 2026, at Stamford Bridge points to a home win. Chelsea are the clear favorites with a 62% win probability, while Hull City face a tough challenge despite their unbeaten start.

Team Form

Chelsea are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches across all competitions. They beat Brighton 4-3, Luton Town 2-0, Fulham 3-2, and Real Sociedad 3-1, with a 3-3 draw against Johor Darul Takzim the only blemish. At home, Chelsea have been strong, scoring freely.

Hull City are unbeaten in their last five outings but have drawn three of them. They held Aston Villa to a 0-0 draw, beat Coventry City 1-0 away, drew 1-1 with Stoke City in the League Cup, stunned Manchester United 2-0, and drew 0-0 with Nice. The Tigers have kept three clean sheets in that run, showing defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

This fixture has been entirely one-sided historically. Chelsea have won all six previous meetings, with Hull City yet to register a draw, let alone a win. The most recent encounter was a 4-0 Chelsea victory in the FA Cup in February 2026. Chelsea also won 2-1 at Hull City in 2020 and 4-0 at home in 2018. The aggregate score across those three matches is 10-1.

League Table Positions

Both sides have started the Premier League season well. Hull City sit second with 7 points from three games (2 wins, 1 draw), having yet to concede a goal. Chelsea are fourth with 6 points from two matches (2 wins), scoring 7 but conceding 5. Chelsea have a game in hand, so a win would send them above Hull City. At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have won their only home game 4-3, while Hull City have won their sole away fixture 1-0.

Win Probability: Chelsea or Hull City?

Chelsea has a 62% chance of winning this match, the draw is at 28%, and Hull City has a 10% chance of victory. These probabilities are based on the betting odds (Chelsea 1.25, draw 2.68, Hull City 8.10), adjusted for Chelsea’s dominant head-to-head record, strong recent form, and home advantage. Hull City’s defensive resilience and unbeaten run keep a draw as a realistic outcome, but the gap in quality and history makes Chelsea the clear favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are pricing Chelsea as heavy favorites. The best available odds show Chelsea at 1.25, a draw at 2.68, and Hull City at 8.10. This reflects the expectation that Chelsea will control the game. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Chelsea win, but Hull City’s solid defense suggests it could be a tighter contest than the odds imply. A 2-0 or 2-1 home victory is a reasonable prediction.