Chelsea - Manchester United prediction 31 October 2026
Chelsea
Manchester UnitedChelsea
Tottenham HotspurEvertonChelseaChelseaBournemouthBrentfordChelseaChelseaHull CityChelseaLeeds UnitedArsenal FCChelseaChelseaBrightonChelseaLuton TownFulhamChelseaChelseaReal SociedadJohor Darul TakzimChelseaChelseaAC MilanChelseaJuventusChelseaTottenham HotspurManchester UnitedBournemouthComo 1907Manchester UnitedLeeds UnitedManchester UnitedAtletico MadridManchester UnitedManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurFulhamManchester UnitedManchester UnitedBrightonManchester UnitedManchester CityManchester UnitedSabah Baku FCEvertonManchester UnitedManchester UnitedIpswich TownHull CityManchester UnitedAC MilanManchester UnitedManchester UnitedLeeds UnitedPSGManchester United| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 4.10 | 4.50 | |
| 1.83 | 2.45 | 3.60 | |
| 1.83 | 2.50 | 3.70 | |
| 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.75 | |
| 1.78 | 2.35 | 3.95 | |
| 1.67 | 2.40 | 3.80 |
- 10Cole Palmermidfielder
- 47Geovany Quendamidfielder
- 20Joรฃo Pedroforward
- 14Jordan Hendersonmidfielder
- 3Jorrel Hatodefender
- 34Josh Acheampongdefender
- 6Levi Colwilldefender
- 17Maxence Lacroixdefender
- 13Mike Pendersgoalkeeper
- 25Moisรฉs Caicedomidfielder
- 18Pedro Netoforward
- 18Danny Welbeck
- 41Estevรฃo
- 32Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli
- 27Malo Gusto
- 2Marco Palestra
- 17Morgan Rogers
- 45Romรฉo Lavia
- 28Teddy Sharman-Lowe
- 4Valentรญn Barco
- 3Wesley Fofana
- Amad Dialloforward
- Andrey Santosmidfielder
- Ayden Heavendefender
- Bryan Mbeumoforward
- Carlos Balebamidfielder
- 2Diogo Dalotdefender
- Harry Maguiredefender
- 15Leny Yorodefender
- 7Mason Mountmidfielder
- 1Senne Lammensgoalkeeper
- Youri Tielemansmidfielder
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- Jack Fletcher
- 9Joshua Zirkzee
- Karl Darlow
- Lisandro Martรญnez
- Matheus Cunha
- Matthijs de Ligt
- Noussair Mazraoui
- Shea Lacey
ChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester UnitedChelseaManchester UnitedManchester UnitedChelseaChelseaManchester United| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds United | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction (Oct 31)
Welcome to our Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction for the Premier League clash on Oct 31 at 12:30 at Stamford Bridge. Based on our win probability calculation, Chelsea has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Manchester United has a 25% chance of coming out on top.
Team Form
Chelsea's recent form shows inconsistency with L, W, W, L, D in their last five matches. At home, they suffered a 0-2 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, but previously thrashed Bournemouth 5-1 and drew 2-2 with Hull City. Away from home, they beat Everton 0-2 and lost 3-0 to Brentford.
Manchester United are struggling more, with L, L, D, L, D in their last five outings. They suffered a heavy 0-3 home loss to Bournemouth and a 4-1 defeat at Como 1907 in the UEFA Champions League. Their only points came from 1-1 draws against Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur, showing a lack of cutting edge.
Head-to-Head Record
The historical head-to-head record favors the visitors: Manchester United have 14 wins to Chelsea's 7, with 12 draws. In their last five meetings, United won two (most recently 1-0 at Stamford Bridge and 2-1 at home), Chelsea won two (including a 4-3 thriller), and there was one 1-1 draw. This back-and-forth trend suggests another tight contest.
League Table Positions
Chelsea sit 4th in the Premier League with 13 points from 8 matches (4W, 1D, 3L), scoring 17 and conceding 15. At home, they are also 4th with 7 points from 4 games. Their away ranking is 6th with 6 points from 4 matches. Manchester United are notably absent from the top 12 positions provided, indicating a poor start to the season and a significant points gap to Chelsea.
Win Probability: Chelsea or Manchester United?
We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Chelsea win 52%, draw 23%, Manchester United win 25%. This is derived from the provided odds (e.g., home 1.89, draw 3.95, away 4.50) as the base, removing the bookmaker margin, and then adjusting for current form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. Chelsea's superior league position and United's terrible form (no win in five) heavily tilt the percentages in the Blues' favor despite United's historical H2H edge.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' pre-match odds show Chelsea as the clear favorite. The best odds for a home win are around 1.89, a draw at 3.95, and an away win for Manchester United at 4.50. Other bookmakers offer similar ranges, with the home win odds as low as 1.70. Based on the statsโChelsea's stronger league position, home advantage, and Manchester United's dire recent formโa home win is the most likely outcome.
Chelsea vs Manchester United โ FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester United?
- Chelsea are the most likely winners with a 52% chance. Manchester United have a 25% chance of victory, and the draw sits at 23%. This is based on odds, current form, and league standings.
- What is the win probability for Chelsea?
- Chelsea's win probability is calculated at 52%. This high percentage is driven by their home advantage, superior league position (4th), and Manchester United's poor run of five games without a win.
- When is the Chelsea vs Manchester United match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 31 at 12:30 at Stamford Bridge in London. It is a Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Pre-match odds show Chelsea as favorites at prices around 1.70 to 1.89. The draw is offered at 2.32 to 3.95, and a Manchester United away win is priced between 3.60 and 4.50.