Cheng Fung - Macau University prediction 25 July 2026

Are you looking for a confident Cheng Fung vs Macau University prediction for the July 25 match? The two teams meet in the Macao 1st Division, and the stats point to a clear favorite. Based on league table positions, head-to-head record, and recent form, Cheng Fung has a 65% chance of winning, while Macau University’s win probability sits at just 15%. The draw is priced at 20%.

Team Form

Cheng Fung enters this game with a mixed run of results: L, L, D, L, D across their last five matches in all competitions. Their most recent outing ended in a 0–4 home defeat to Shao Jiang, and a heavy 1–6 loss to Chao Pak Kei the week before. However, two draws before that show they can be competitive. At home, Cheng Fung’s record this season reads 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 4 games, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. They tend to find the net but also leak goals.

Macau University’s form is far more alarming: five straight losses — L, L, L, L, L. They were crushed 0–10 away at Benfica on July 19 and lost 2–3 to Artilheiros a week earlier. Over the course of the league season, they have managed only 1 point from 12 matches, with 7 goals scored and 48 conceded. On the road, they are yet to win a point (all away matches ended in defeats, with a goal difference of roughly -20).

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Cheng Fung and Macau University is perfectly balanced over the last four meetings: 1 Cheng Fung win, 1 Macau University win, and 2 draws. The most recent clash was on April 26, 2026, when Macau University hosted Cheng Fung and lost heavily 0–3. Before that, on July 26, 2025, the pair played out a 1–1 draw. Cheng Fung’s sole home win in the series came back in June 2025 (1–2 loss to Macau University, actually that was a home loss? Check: id 70759032: homeName Cheng Fung, away Macau University, score 1–2, so Cheng Fung lost at home. The H2H list shows: Macau University 0-3 Cheng Fung (Apr 2026), Macau University 1-1 Cheng Fung (Jul 2025), Cheng Fung 1-2 Macau University (Jun 2025), Cheng Fung 1-1 Macau University (Mar 2025). So Cheng Fung's only win is the latest, away. The home record for Cheng Fung in this fixture is 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. So despite the balanced overall, Cheng Fung has not won at home against Macau University in this data set. This is an interesting nuance, but the away win and the huge improvement in league standings suggest a shift in power.

League Table Positions

In the Macao 1st Division standings, Cheng Fung sits 5th with 19 points from 13 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). They have a positive goal difference of +4. In contrast, Macau University languishes at the bottom, 10th place, with only 1 point from 12 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 11 losses). They have scored just 7 times and conceded 48, leaving them with a -41 goal difference. The gap between the two sides is 18 points, highlighting the gulf in class this season.

Win Probability: Cheng Fung or Macau University?

Assessing all available data — league table positions, recent form, head-to-head results, and home/away performance — the win probability breakdown is: Cheng Fung win: 65%, draw: 20%, Macau University win: 15%. Cheng Fung’s higher league position, better goal record, and the dominant 3–0 win the last time these sides met underpin the heavy favouritism. Macau University’s only real hope is the H2H anomaly where Cheng Fung has struggled at home in this fixture (1 draw, 1 loss), but the current form of Macau University (five consecutive defeats, 48 goals conceded) makes an upset extremely unlikely. The draw probability acknowledges that Cheng Fung have drawn two of their last five and the fixture has finished level in two of four previous encounters.

Match Prediction

With no odds data provided for this specific fixture, the statistics alone strongly point to a Cheng Fung victory. The team has already beaten Macau University convincingly away this season, while the visitors continue to ship goals at an alarming rate. A home win seems the most logical outcome, but the possibility of a draw cannot be entirely dismissed given Cheng Fung’s recent defensive fragility. Expect Cheng Fung to control the game and claim all three points, with a predicted scoreline in the region of 2–0 or 3–1.