Chicago Fire II - Chattanooga FC prediction 20 September 2026

The Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga FC prediction for this MLS Next Pro match on Sep 20, 2026, at 18:00 points to a competitive fixture. Based on the stats, Chattanooga FC enters as the favorite with a 47% win probability, while Chicago Fire II has a 28% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Chicago Fire II is struggling, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, W, L). They have conceded 13 goals in that span, including a 4-0 defeat to Crown and a 4-0 loss to Columbus Crew II. Their only win was a 3-1 home victory over Inter Miami II on Aug 23.

Chattanooga FC is in much better shape, winning three of their last five (W, W, W, L, D). They scored 14 goals in these games, highlighted by a 5-2 home win against Carolina Core FC and a 4-1 victory over Atlanta United II. Their away form includes a 2-1 win at Huntsville City.

Head-to-Head Record

In three previous meetings, Chicago Fire II has the edge with 2 wins, while Chattanooga FC has 0 wins and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash on Jun 27, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw at Chattanooga FC. Earlier this season on Mar 15, Chicago Fire II won 2-1 at home. In 2025, Chicago Fire II also secured a 1-0 away victory.

League Table Positions

Chattanooga FC sits 6th in the overall MLS Next Pro standings with 54 points from 27 matches (18 wins, 9 losses). They have scored 55 goals and conceded 39. Chicago Fire II is not in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a much lower position. At home, Chattanooga FC is ranked 1st with 33 points from 14 games (11 wins, 3 losses). Away, Chattanooga FC is 8th with 21 points from 13 matches (7 wins, 6 losses).

Win Probability: Chicago Fire II or Chattanooga FC?

Chattanooga FC has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Chicago Fire II has a 28% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of implied odds adjusted for form and head-to-head data. Chattanooga FC's strong overall record (54 points vs. Chicago Fire II's unranked status) and superior recent form (three wins in five) make them the likely winner. However, Chicago Fire II's historical H2H advantage (2 wins, 0 losses) and home factor prevent Chattanooga FC from being an overwhelming favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Chattanooga FC as the favorite given their 6th-place standing and top home record. The prediction is a tight contest, but Chattanooga FC's momentum gives them the edge. A draw is a real possibility considering the most recent H2H result.