Chicago Red Stars Women - Denver Summit Women prediction 4 October 2026

Denver Summit Women vs Chicago Red Stars Women prediction for the NWSL Women match on Aug 30, 2026. The game kicks off at 00:45 UTC, and based on the latest odds and team form, Denver Summit Women are the favorites with a 58% win probability.

Team Form

Denver Summit Women's last five results: L, D, W, L, D. They lost 0-1 at Portland Thorns Women, drew 1-1 at San Diego Wave Women, beat Utah Royals FC Women 2-1 at home, lost 0-2 at home to North Carolina Courage Women, and drew 1-1 at home with Boston Legacy FC Women. That's one win, two draws, and two losses – inconsistent but with home advantage they have managed to pick up points.

Chicago Red Stars Women's recent form reads W, L, L, D, L. A 3-2 home win over Racing Louisville Women was followed by a heavy 0-5 defeat at Houston Dash Women, a 0-1 loss at Seattle Reign FC Women, a 0-0 home draw with Bay FC Women, and a 1-2 loss at Racing Louisville Women. With three defeats in five, the visitors are clearly struggling.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Denver Summit Women and Chicago Red Stars Women. This NWSL Women fixture will be the first official meeting between the two sides.

League Table Positions

Denver Summit Women sit 12th in the NWSL Women overall table with 24 points from 20 matches (6 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 25 goals and conceded 26. Chicago Red Stars Women are outside the top 12, indicating a lower position and fewer points. The home side clearly has the edge in the standings.

Win Probability: Denver Summit Women or Chicago Red Stars Women?

Based on the odds, team form, league positions, and home advantage, we calculate the following outcome probabilities: Denver Summit Women win – 58%, draw – 30%, Chicago Red Stars Women win – 12%. The bookmaker odds imply a 54.5% home win chance after removing the margin, and we have adjusted upward slightly due to Denver's superior league standing and Chicago's poor away form. Denver Summit Women are the most likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Denver Summit Women to win at 1.62, a draw at 2.62, and Chicago Red Stars Women to win at 7.50. Other bookmakers offer similar prices, with the home win as short as 1.27 at one outlet, underlining the favorite status. Our prediction: Denver Summit Women to win. The stats point to a comfortable home success, though the 30% draw probability suggests some caution.