Gotham FC Women - Chicago Red Stars Women prediction 26 September 2026

The Gotham FC Women vs Chicago Red Stars Women prediction for September 26, 2026, sees the league leaders as heavy favorites. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Gotham FC Women has a 72% chance of winning this NWSL Women matchup.

Team Form

Gotham FC Women enter this match in strong form. Their last five results are W, W, L, D, D. In their most recent outing on Sep 19, they beat North Carolina Courage Women 2-1 away. Before that, they secured a 2-1 win at Racing Louisville Women on Sep 11. Their only recent loss was a 3-0 defeat at Denver Summit Women on Sep 6.

Chicago Red Stars Women are struggling. Their last five results read L, D, L, L, W. They suffered a heavy 3-0 home loss to Washington Spirit Women on Sep 20. A 1-1 draw at Portland Thorns Women on Sep 14 was followed by a 6-0 thrashing at home by North Carolina Courage Women on Sep 6. Their sole win in this run was a 3-2 home victory over Racing Louisville Women on Aug 23.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Gotham FC Women. In the only previous meeting between these sides, Gotham FC Women won 2-0 away at Chicago Red Stars Women on Apr 30, 2026. Gotham FC Women have 1 win, Chicago Red Stars Women have 0, and there have been 0 draws.

League Table Positions

Gotham FC Women sit at the top of the NWSL Women table with 51 points from 25 matches (15 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 31 goals and conceded just 19. At home, they are 2nd with 25 points from 12 games (7 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). Away, they also rank 2nd with 26 points from 13 games.

Chicago Red Stars Women are not in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating they are in the lower part of the table. Their recent heavy defeats have severely impacted their goal difference.

Win Probability: Gotham FC Women or Chicago Red Stars Women?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Gotham FC Women win 72%, draw 18%, Chicago Red Stars Women win 10%. The bookmakers' average odds imply a strong home favorite, and we have adjusted slightly for Gotham's dominant league position and Chicago's poor defensive form. Gotham FC Women are much more likely to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Gotham FC Women as the clear favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.44, with the draw at 3.00 and an away win for Chicago Red Stars Women at 9.00. Other bookmakers offer similar prices, with home odds as low as 1.37. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. Gotham FC Women's solid defense and Chicago's leaky backline point towards a comfortable victory for the league leaders.