Chicago Red Stars Women - Houston Dash Women prediction 24 October 2026

The Houston Dash Women vs Chicago Red Stars Women prediction for the NWSL Women match on Aug 20, 2026, points to a home advantage. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Houston Dash Women have a 47% chance of winning, while Chicago Red Stars Women sit at 20% and the draw is at 33%.

Team Form

Houston Dash Women come into this match with a mixed set of recent results. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, three draws, and one loss: a 1-1 draw with Kansas City Women, a 0-1 loss to Gotham FC Women, a 1-0 win over Bay FC Women, a 1-1 draw at Racing Louisville Women, and a 2-2 draw at Denver Summit Women. The home side has been tough to beat, losing only once in that stretch.

Chicago Red Stars Women are in poor form, especially away from home. Their last five matches show four losses and one draw: a 0-1 defeat at Seattle Reign FC Women, a 0-0 draw with Bay FC Women, a 1-2 loss at Racing Louisville Women, a 0-1 loss at Orlando Pride Women, and a 0-2 home loss to Angel City Women. They have failed to score in three of those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous head-to-head meeting between these teams was a Friendly International Women match on Mar 30, 2017, where Chicago Red Stars Women won 2-1 at home. With just one match played eight years ago, the H2H record holds limited relevance for this NWSL Women prediction.

League Table Positions

In the NWSL Women home standings, Houston Dash Women rank 7th with 15 points from 10 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). Chicago Red Stars Women do not appear in the top eight of the away standings, highlighting their struggles on the road this season. Overall league positions are not listed for either team, but the home/away split clearly favors Houston.

Win Probability: Houston Dash Women or Chicago Red Stars Women?

Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and home advantage, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• Houston Dash Women win: 47%
• Draw: 33%
• Chicago Red Stars Women win: 20%

The odds imply a 44.5% chance for a home win, but Houston’s better recent form and Chicago’s four losses in five away games justify an upward adjustment. Home advantage and the league table split further support Houston as the favorite. A draw remains a significant possibility (33%) given Houston’s three draws in five matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers show Houston Dash Women as the clear favorite, with the best home win odds as low as 1.68 and the highest at 2.15. Draw odds range from 2.25 to 3.75, while an away win for Chicago Red Stars Women is priced between 4.00 and 4.45. Based on the stats, Houston Dash Women are the more likely winners, but the high draw probability suggests a tight match could be on the cards.