Imperial Unido - Chimbarongo prediction 27 September 2026
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The Imperial Unido vs Chimbarongo prediction for their Tercera Division clash on Sep 11, 2026, points to a tight affair with Chimbarongo slightly favoured. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Chimbarongo has a 45% win probability, a draw sits at 30%, and Imperial Unido holds a 25% chance.
Team Form
Imperial Unido are in dire straits, failing to win in their last five outings (D1, L4). In that run they were beaten 0-1 by Rodelindo Roman, 0-3 by Lautaro de Buin, lost 4-2 at Quintero Unido, suffered a 5-0 thrashing at Atletico Oriente, and drew 1-1 with Comunal Cabrero. They have conceded 14 goals in those five games while scoring only three.
Chimbarongoโs recent form is only marginally better (W1, L4). They snapped a four-game losing streak with a 3-1 away win at Puente Alto on Sep 05. Before that they lost 0-1 to Lautaro de Buin, 1-2 at Atletico Oriente, 0-1 at Aguara, and 0-1 at home to CDS Constitucion Unido. They scored four and conceded six in their last five.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met twice. The most recent encounter on Jun 13, 2026 ended in a 3-0 home win for Chimbarongo. Earlier, on Oct 03, 2025, Imperial Unido hosted and the match finished 0-0. Overall, Chimbarongo are unbeaten (W1, D1) with a 3-0 goal advantage.
Win Probability: Imperial Unido or Chimbarongo?
The numbers point to an away edge. Chimbarongo have a 45% chance to win, a draw is estimated at 30%, and Imperial Unidoโs probability is 25%. The reasoning combines the head-to-head advantage (1 win in 2, including a 3-0 victory), slightly better recent form (one win in five vs zero for the hosts), and Imperial Unidoโs severe defensive woes that have seen them concede heavily at home.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds are not available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a Chimbarongo win or a draw. With both teams struggling for consistency, a low-scoring encounter is likely, but Chimbarongoโs ability to keep clean sheets against weaker opponents gives them the edge.
Imperial Unido vs Chimbarongo โ FAQ
- Who will win Imperial Unido vs Chimbarongo?
- Chimbarongo are the more likely winners with a 45% probability, while Imperial Unido have a 25% chance and a draw is rated at 30%. This forecast is based on Chimbarongoโs 3-0 win in the most recent head-to-head and slightly better current form.
- What is the win probability for Chimbarongo?
- Chimbarongo hold a 45% win probability. They have a superior head-to-head record (one win, one draw) and ended a losing run with a 3-1 victory in their last match, which gives them the edge over out-of-form Imperial Unido.
- When is the Imperial Unido vs Chimbarongo match?
- The match takes place on Sep 11, 2026, at 15:00. It is a Tercera Division fixture in Chile.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Live betting odds are not yet available for this fixture. Check back closer to kick-off on Sep 11, 2026 for updated bookmaker prices.
- What is the head-to-head record between Imperial Unido and Chimbarongo?
- In two previous meetings, Chimbarongo won once (3-0, June 2026) and the other match ended 0-0 (October 2025). Imperial Unido have not beaten Chimbarongo in those encounters.