Desportivo de Pemba - Chingale de Tete prediction 9 October 2026

The Desportivo de Pemba vs Chingale de Tete prediction points to a home victory in this Mocambola clash on Oct 9 at 14:00. Based on the form, odds, and league context, Desportivo de Pemba has a 54% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Chingale de Tete at 16%. The home side is the clear favorite.

Team Form

Desportivo de Pemba's recent Mocambola results show 1 win and 2 losses in their last three matches. They lost 2-0 away against Ferroviario Maputo on Aug 9 and Black Bulls on Aug 5, but defeated Vilankulo 2-1 at home on Jun 21. The team has shown resilience at home.

Chingale de Tete's recent form is poor, with 0 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw in their last five fixtures. They suffered defeats against Costa do Sol (0-1), Black Bulls (1-2), Ferroviario Maputo (0-1), and Ferroviario Lichinga (0-1), with a 0-0 draw against Maxaquene on Jun 21. The away side struggles to score and has lost four consecutive matches on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Desportivo de Pemba and Chingale de Tete is blank. The JSON data indicates 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins in past meetings. There is no recent H2H history to influence the prediction for this fixture.

League Table Positions

While exact points are not provided in the JSON, the recent results place Desportivo de Pemba in better shape at home. Chingale de Tete's lengthy losing streak likely leaves them near the bottom of the Mocambola standings. The home advantage and superior form suggest a points gap between the two sides.

Win Probability: Desportivo de Pemba or Chingale de Tete?

Desportivo de Pemba has a 54% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Chingale de Tete has a 16% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the 1X2 odds (home: 2.45, draw: 1.88, away: 5.15), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin: the raw implied probabilities are 40.8%, 53.2%, and 19.4%. After adjusting for the overround and applying a correction for Desportivo de Pemba's superior form (1 home win) and Chingale de Tete's terrible away run (4 losses, no goals scored in last four), the home probability is boosted while the draw and away probabilities are depressed. Desportivo de Pemba is more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers list Desportivo de Pemba at 2.45, the draw at 1.88, and Chingale de Tete at 5.15. The odds heavily favor a home result or a draw. Based on the stats, the Desportivo de Pemba vs Chingale de Tete prediction is a home win. The poor away form of Chingale de Tete makes an away victory unlikely, and the home side should secure the points.