Mwembe Makumbi City - Chipukizi prediction 28 October 2026

Our Mwembe Makumbi City vs Chipukizi prediction for the Zanzibar Premier League match on October 28, 2026, at 13:00, points to a home victory. Based on the odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Mwembe Makumbi City enters this contest as the clear favorite. We calculate Mwembe Makumbi City has a 55% chance of winning, while Chipukizi sits at a 20% win probability, with the draw at 25%.

Team Form

Mwembe Makumbi City's recent form shows a mixed bag of results but a recent uptick. Their last five matches read W, D, D, L, L. The most recent outing was a strong 4-1 home victory against Kipanga on October 2. Before that, they secured two consecutive goalless draws away at Mafunzo. A 0-1 home loss to Mlandege and a 0-2 away defeat at Zimamoto SC complete the sequence.

Chipukizi's form is a major concern heading into this fixture. Their last five results are L, L, L, L, W. They have suffered four straight defeats, conceding heavily in losses to Kipanga (1-3), Uhamiaji (1-4), Polisi Tanzania FC (0-1), and Mafunzo (1-2). The lone bright spot is a 3-1 away win against New Stone Town back in April, but that is a distant memory given their current slump.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between these two sides heavily favors Mwembe Makumbi City. In the last three meetings, Mwembe Makumbi City has 2 wins, Chipukizi has 0 wins, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash, on April 3, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate when Chipukizi was the home side. However, when Mwembe Makumbi City hosts, they are dominant. They won the two previous home fixtures by identical 2-0 scorelines, in October 2025 and November 2024.

League Table Positions

The provided league table does not directly list either Mwembe Makumbi City or Chipukizi, suggesting they compete in a different division or conference structure within Zanzibar football, or the table represents a separate competition. Therefore, a direct positional comparison cannot be made from the given data. The analysis must rely solely on form and head-to-head statistics.

Win Probability: Mwembe Makumbi City or Chipukizi?

We calculate the win probability based on the average bookmaker odds, adjusted for the teams' recent form and dominant head-to-head history. The implied probabilities from the most balanced odds (2.50 for home, 1.95 for draw, 5.00 for away) were taken as a base and normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Then, we applied a negative adjustment to Chipukizi's chances due to their four-match losing streak and a positive adjustment to Mwembe Makumbi City based on their home H2H record and recent win.

The final probability breakdown is: Mwembe Makumbi City has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Chipukizi has a 20% chance. The data strongly suggests Mwembe Makumbi City is the more likely winner, but Chipukizi's win on the road in April shows they cannot be dismissed entirely, making a home win far more probable than an away upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a contest where the home side is favored, but the draw is a very real possibility. The available odds range from 1.73 to 2.50 for a Mwembe Makumbi City win. The draw odds are tight, between 1.95 and 3.25, while an away victory for Chipukizi is priced high, from 4.33 to 5.00.

Our final Mwembe Makumbi City vs Chipukizi prediction is a home win. The reasoning is clear: Mwembe Makumbi City's perfect home H2H record against this opponent, combined with Chipukizi's terrible current run of form, makes the hosts the most probable victors. The relatively low draw odds do warrant caution, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair could be on the cards, but based on the stats, Mwembe Makumbi City should secure all three points.