Chivas Guadalajara U19 - Necaxa U19 prediction 20 October 2026

Our Chivas Guadalajara U19 vs Necaxa U19 prediction for the U19 League match on Oct 20, 2026, at 18:30, sees the home side as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The bookmakers' odds also point to a tight contest, but Chivas Guadalajara U19’s recent form and home advantage give them the edge.

Team Form

Chivas Guadalajara U19

Chivas Guadalajara U19 have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent results are:

• Oct 10: Atlas Guadalajara U19 1-3 Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)
• Sep 13: Chivas Guadalajara U19 0-2 Unam Pumas U19 (L)
• Sep 5: Atletico San Luis U19 0-2 Chivas Guadalajara U19 (W)
• Aug 29: CF Pachuca U19 5-0 Chivas Guadalajara U19 (L)
• Aug 22: Chivas Guadalajara U19 3-1 Tijuana U19 (W)

The team has been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses, but they have shown the ability to score on the road, netting three goals in their latest away match.

Necaxa U19

Necaxa U19’s last five results show two wins, two losses, and one draw:

• Oct 16: Necaxa U19 4-1 Atlas Guadalajara U19 (W)
• Oct 11: CF Pachuca U19 3-1 Necaxa U19 (L)
• Sep 27: Necaxa U19 0-0 Club America U19 (D)
• Sep 11: Necaxa U19 0-3 Puebla U19 (L)
• Aug 28: Necaxa U19 3-0 Cruz Azul U19 (W)

Their away form is a concern, with a 1-3 defeat at CF Pachuca U19 in their only recent road game. At home, they have been unpredictable, mixing big wins with a heavy loss.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams consists of two matches, both ending in 2-2 draws. The most recent meeting was on Apr 22, 2026, where Necaxa U19 hosted and the game finished 2-2. The earlier encounter on Jan 17, 2025, also ended 2-2. With no wins for either side, the history suggests a closely matched fixture.

Win Probability: Chivas Guadalajara U19 or Necaxa U19?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara U19 have a 45% chance of winning, a draw stands at 35%, and Necaxa U19 have a 20% chance. These percentages are derived from the bookmakers' odds (home 2.10, draw 2.38, away 4.50), adjusted for the teams' recent form and the head-to-head record. The odds imply a home win probability of around 43%, but Chivas’s slightly better form and home advantage push it to 45%. The high draw probability reflects the two previous draws between these sides and the relatively low odds on the draw. Necaxa’s away struggles reduce their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Chivas Guadalajara U19 as the favorites with odds around 2.10 for a home win. The draw is offered at 2.38–2.40, while an away win for Necaxa U19 is at 4.33–4.50. These odds indicate a competitive match with a strong possibility of a stalemate. Our prediction: Chivas Guadalajara U19 are the more likely winners, but the high draw probability cannot be ignored. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home side seems plausible.