Chivas Guadalajara Women - Club Necaxa Women prediction 21 October 2026

The Chivas Guadalajara Women vs Club Necaxa Women prediction points to a heavy home favorite in this Liga MX Women clash on October 21, 2026, at 04:07. Based on the stats, Chivas Guadalajara Women has a 92% chance of winning, while Club Necaxa Women has just a 4% chance, with the draw also at 4%. Bookmakers see the hosts as the overwhelming favorite, and the form guide backs that up completely.

Team Form

Chivas Guadalajara Women come into this match in strong shape, having won four of their last five league games. They beat Juarez Women 1-0, Cruz Azul Women 1-0, Tijuana Women 2-0, and Atlas Women 4-0. Their only recent defeat was a narrow 3-2 loss at home to Monterrey Women. In contrast, Club Necaxa Women have lost all of their last five matches. They suffered defeats against Cruz Azul Women (0-2), Toluca Women (0-4), Monterrey Women (0-10), Juarez Women (0-1), and Atletico San Luis Women (0-2). Necaxa have failed to score a single goal in that run, conceding 19.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. Chivas Guadalajara Women have won all three previous meetings with Club Necaxa Women. The most recent encounter on February 6, 2026, ended 2-0 to Chivas. Earlier, Chivas won 4-0 at home on October 31, 2025, and 3-0 away on January 6, 2025. Across those three matches, Chivas have scored nine goals without conceding a single one.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga MX Women standings, Chivas Guadalajara Women (listed as Guadalajara W) sit 5th with 21 points from 10 matches (7 wins, 3 losses). They have scored 21 goals and conceded 11. Club Necaxa Women are not in the top 12 of the table, highlighting the gap between the sides. At home, Chivas rank 6th with 9 points from 5 games. Their away form is stronger, ranked 5th with 12 points from 5 matches on the road.

Win Probability: Chivas Guadalajara Women or Club Necaxa Women?

Based on the provided data, the win probabilities are as follows: Chivas Guadalajara Women have a 92% chance of winning, a draw has a 4% chance, and Club Necaxa Women have a 4% chance of winning. This calculation uses the inverse of the bookmaker odds as the base, adjusted for the team form and the perfect head-to-head record of Chivas against Necaxa. Home advantage and the massive gap in league positions solidify Chivas as the clear favorite. A win for Club Necaxa Women would be a major shock given their current form and the historical match results.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available match odds show Chivas Guadalajara Women as an extreme favorite. The lowest home win odds are 1.00, with the highest at 1.14. The draw is priced between 4.85 and 41.00, while an away win for Club Necaxa Women is quoted from 41.00 up to 151.00. Based on the stats, the form, and the head-to-head record, a comfortable home win is the most likely match outcome. Bookmakers see Chivas Guadalajara Women as the banker of the round, and the probability model agrees.